Sam Houston

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Sam Houston

52.7%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -111

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSam Houston 77

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 78

Team Comparison

Sam HoustonMetricMiddle Tennessee

56.1MMH Power Index52.5

115.5Offensive Efficiency109.6

105.5Defensive Efficiency105.7

10.0Net Efficiency3.9

-2.2Strength of Schedule0.4

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

71.2Tempo68.8

53.2%Effective FG%52.2%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.7%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

34.8%Free Throw Rate33.2%

7.1Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sam Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSam Houston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.1–52.5), offensive efficiency (115.5–109.6), defensive efficiency (105.5–105.7), net efficiency (10.0–3.9).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.4–-2.2).

Final

Sam Houston

67—68

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee by 1 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sam HoustonTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

27-56FG24-62

48.0%FG%39.0%

5-113PT11-29

45.0%3PT%38.0%

8-12FT9-10

67.0%FT%90.0%

40Rebounds31

10Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists10

17Turnovers10

7Steals11

3Blocks3

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Sam Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Veljko Ilic	F	30	8-12	0-0	0-0	13	3	0	1	16
Po'Boigh King	G	31	5-10	2-5	2-3	2	3	0	0	14
Damon Nicholas Jr.	G	29	4-9	1-1	2-3	7	1	2	0	11
Jacob Walker	G	24	2-2	1-1	2-3	2	3	0	1	7
Jaxson Ford	F	8	3-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	6
Jacobe Coleman	G	16	2-4	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Kashie Natt	G	20	2-8	0-1	0-1	6	0	3	0	4
Justin Begg	G	16	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	2
Isaiah Manning	F	16	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
CJ Beaumont	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Matt Dann	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahvin Carter	G	33	5-9	4-5	2-2	4	4	2	0	16
Kamari Lands	G	28	5-13	1-5	3-3	3	2	0	0	14
Torey Alston	F	26	4-8	0-0	4-4	3	0	0	1	12
Sean Smith	G	19	3-6	2-2	0-0	2	2	3	0	8
Tre Green	G	17	3-8	2-6	0-0	1	0	1	0	8
Alec Oglesby	G	36	2-9	2-7	0-1	3	1	5	0	6
Chris Loofe	F	29	2-9	0-4	0-0	10	1	0	2	4
Luka Jovanovic	C	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

98.1Offensive Efficiency99.6

99.6Defensive Efficiency98.1

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

52.7%Effective FG%47.6%

54.3%True Shooting %50.9%

24.7%Turnover Rate14.8%

21.4%Free Throw Rate16.1%

19.6%3-Point Rate46.8%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.