New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%New Mexico State

62.2%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -165

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 73

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScoreMissouri State 76

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricMissouri State

51.2MMH Power Index51.1

108.9Offensive Efficiency110.5

104.5Defensive Efficiency108.4

4.4Net Efficiency2.1

-0.7Strength of Schedule0.5

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

68.9Tempo67.9

48.6%Effective FG%51.8%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.4%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

37.0%Free Throw Rate42.9%

3.1Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–51.1), defensive efficiency (104.5–108.4), net efficiency (4.4–2.1), recent form (-2.0–-2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.5–108.9), strength of schedule (0.5–-0.7), shooting efficiency (51.8–48.6).

Final

New Mexico State

82—89

Missouri State

Missouri State by 7 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATMissouri State

28-61FG25-54

46.0%FG%46.0%

7-183PT10-21

39.0%3PT%48.0%

19-23FT29-39

83.0%FT%74.0%

35Rebounds34

13Offensive Rebounds14

9Assists14

12Turnovers13

6Steals7

6Blocks5

27Fouls17

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julius Mims	F	30	9-13	2-3	2-2	14	0	0	0	22
Jemel Jones	G	32	5-16	0-5	8-8	2	3	4	1	18
Elijah Elliott	G	27	5-11	2-3	4-5	1	2	1	0	16
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	28	4-6	1-1	1-1	3	1	0	0	10
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	21	1-3	1-2	2-2	3	0	0	0	5
Gabe Pickens	G	14	2-5	1-2	0-0	1	3	1	0	5
Jayland Randall	G	13	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	1	3
Cyr Malonga	C	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Kyrese Mullen	F	21	0-4	0-1	1-4	4	0	0	1	1
Augustine Ekwe	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	0
Chris Terrell	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobi Williams	G	39	8-11	7-9	9-10	2	0	1	1	32
Keith Palek III	F	36	4-9	0-1	8-12	6	3	1	1	16
Trey Williams Jr.	G	28	3-8	2-5	5-5	1	4	0	1	13
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	24	4-9	0-0	4-8	5	4	1	1	12
Darrion Sutton	F	18	3-7	0-1	0-0	9	0	0	1	6
Antwan Burnett	G	27	1-5	1-3	1-2	3	0	3	0	4
Zaxton King	G	25	1-3	0-1	2-2	0	3	0	0	4
Logan Epes	G	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

115.2Offensive Efficiency125.0

125.0Defensive Efficiency115.2

-9.8Net Efficiency9.8

51.6%Effective FG%55.6%

57.0%True Shooting %61.4%

16.9%Turnover Rate18.2%

37.7%Free Throw Rate72.2%

29.5%3-Point Rate38.9%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.