Youngstown State

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Youngstown State

78.8%Northern Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -372

Northern Kentucky

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreYoungstown State 74

Projected Total155.9

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 82

Team Comparison

Youngstown StateMetricNorthern Kentucky

46.7MMH Power Index53.9

111.6Offensive Efficiency114.9

107.1Defensive Efficiency107.1

4.5Net Efficiency7.8

-5.6Strength of Schedule-2.9

1.5Last 10 Net Efficiency4.6

66.7Tempo72.3

54.9%Effective FG%54.5%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.3%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

32.3%Free Throw Rate37.1%

3.0Average Margin5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–46.7), offensive efficiency (114.9–111.6), net efficiency (7.8–4.5), strength of schedule (-2.9–-5.6).

Youngstown State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (54.9–54.5).

Final

Youngstown State

79—94

Northern Kentucky

Northern Kentucky by 15 • 78.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Youngstown StateTEAM STATNorthern Kentucky

28-70FG30-58

40.0%FG%52.0%

10-343PT9-20

29.0%3PT%45.0%

13-23FT25-32

57.0%FT%78.0%

33Rebounds45

12Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists19

10Turnovers14

7Steals8

2Blocks3

24Fouls19

Player Box Score

Youngstown State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cris Carroll	F	36	8-17	7-14	3-6	5	1	2	0	26
Rich Rolf	F	30	4-11	2-7	0-1	4	1	1	1	10
Bryson Dawkins	G	23	5-11	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	10
Jason Nelson	G	25	3-9	0-2	2-4	4	6	2	0	8
Cam Polak	G	14	2-4	1-2	3-3	2	0	1	0	8
Tyler Robinett	F	23	2-3	0-0	1-3	3	0	0	1	5
Imanuel Zorgvol	C	7	2-3	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Jaiden Haynes	G	9	2-5	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Tae Blackshear	G	9	0-5	0-4	3-3	0	0	1	0	3
Drew King	G	15	0-2	0-1	0-2	3	4	0	0	0
Vlad Salaridze	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dan Gherezgher	G	33	7-13	4-7	8-9	5	5	0	0	26
Donovan Oday	G	29	7-15	1-4	7-9	4	3	2	0	22
LJ Wells	F	32	7-11	2-3	2-5	11	1	0	1	18
Kael Robinson	F	27	5-10	1-3	5-5	5	4	2	0	16
Tae Dozier	G	24	3-4	1-2	0-0	4	2	1	2	7
Ethan Elliott	G	30	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	3	1	0	3
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	15	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	0	2
Ryan Tolliver	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Shawn Nelson	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Bryce Darbyshire	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.6Possessions78.6

100.5Offensive Efficiency119.6

119.6Defensive Efficiency100.5

-19.1Net Efficiency19.1

47.1%Effective FG%59.5%

48.8%True Shooting %64.2%

12.7%Turnover Rate17.9%

32.9%Free Throw Rate55.2%

48.6%3-Point Rate34.5%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Northern Kentucky won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 78.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.