Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Southern Illinois

78.8%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -372

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 71

Projected Total151.8

Projected ScoreBelmont 81

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricBelmont

54.6MMH Power Index61.8

103.4Offensive Efficiency118.6

98.5Defensive Efficiency103.7

4.9Net Efficiency14.9

1.6Strength of Schedule-0.2

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

70.6Tempo70.7

49.5%Effective FG%60.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

32.3%Free Throw Rate32.7%

3.4Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–54.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–103.4), net efficiency (14.9–4.9), recent form (10.0–7.7).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.5–103.7), strength of schedule (1.6–-0.2), ball security (17.0–17.8).

Final

Southern Illinois

68—67

Belmont

Southern Illinois by 1 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATBelmont

26-60FG27-50

43.0%FG%54.0%

8-223PT3-12

36.0%3PT%25.0%

8-13FT10-20

62.0%FT%50.0%

34Rebounds30

14Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists12

18Turnovers16

8Steals6

4Blocks5

23Fouls15

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quel'Ron House	G	28	5-12	0-0	5-9	1	4	3	0	15
Isaiah Stafford	G	17	6-9	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	14
Jalen Haynes	G	17	4-8	3-5	2-2	0	1	0	0	13
Drew Steffe	G	26	3-8	2-6	0-0	5	1	1	0	8
Prince Aligbe	F	17	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	22	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Davion Sykes	G	19	1-5	0-1	1-2	6	2	0	1	3
Max Pikaar	F	22	1-3	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	2	2
Rolyns Aligbe	F	20	1-9	0-4	0-0	4	1	0	1	2
Jorge Moreno	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jabez Jenkins	G	28	6-7	0-0	5-8	5	1	3	0	17
Sam Orme	F	19	4-7	2-3	0-0	6	0	1	2	10
Tyler Lundblade	G	36	4-7	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	9
Brigham Rogers	F	22	4-6	0-0	1-1	0	0	1	1	9
Drew Scharnowski	F	28	3-6	0-0	2-7	10	2	1	2	8
Jack Smiley	G	21	3-8	0-2	1-2	1	2	0	0	7
Isaiah West	G	15	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	2
Eoin Dillon	F	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Cooper Haynes	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Win Miller	G	16	0-2	0-1	1-2	2	2	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

98.0Offensive Efficiency96.5

96.5Defensive Efficiency98.0

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

50.0%Effective FG%57.0%

51.4%True Shooting %56.3%

25.7%Turnover Rate23.4%

21.7%Free Throw Rate40.0%

36.7%3-Point Rate24.0%

0.56Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.