Portland

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.9%Portland

79.1%San Francisco

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Francisco -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINESan Francisco -378

San Francisco

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland 71

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreSan Francisco 81

Team Comparison

PortlandMetricSan Francisco

42.7MMH Power Index50.1

104.8Offensive Efficiency110.4

110.6Defensive Efficiency108.2

-5.8Net Efficiency2.2

1.8Strength of Schedule1.4

-8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.7

71.0Tempo67.6

52.0%Effective FG%51.9%

19.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

36.9%Free Throw Rate40.5%

-4.1Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Francisco HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Francisco holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–42.7), offensive efficiency (110.4–104.8), defensive efficiency (108.2–110.6), net efficiency (2.2–-5.8).

Portland COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–1.4), recent form (-8.1–-8.7), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.9).

Final

Portland

68—73

San Francisco

San Francisco by 5 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PortlandTEAM STATSan Francisco

24-51FG22-58

47.0%FG%38.0%

5-233PT8-24

22.0%3PT%33.0%

15-19FT21-34

79.0%FT%62.0%

26Rebounds43

6Offensive Rebounds20

13Assists13

17Turnovers10

2Steals6

—Blocks2

24Fouls19

Player Box Score

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Cameron Williams	F	26	8-10	2-3	3-4	6	1	0	21
Joel Foxwell	G	40	7-13	1-6	5-7	2	6	0	20
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	21	5-8	1-3	1-1	4	2	1	12
Mikah Ballew	G	28	1-7	0-4	5-5	1	0	0	7
Matúš Hronský	F	29	2-5	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	5
Dante Censori-Hercules	G	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	2
James O'Donnell	F	13	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	1
Garrett Nuckolls	G	28	0-4	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	0
Kelson Gebbers	G	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0

San Francisco

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Veniamin Abosi	G	29	4-5	3-4	5-6	9	3	0	0	16
David Fuchs	F	21	4-10	1-3	6-14	10	0	1	1	15
Ryan Beasley	G	37	5-14	1-4	3-5	6	4	3	0	14
Legend Smiley	G	22	2-8	1-6	3-3	0	0	0	0	8
Guillermo Diaz Graham	F	19	2-3	1-1	1-2	2	2	1	0	6
Saba Gigiberia	C	10	2-4	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	1	5
Junjie Wang	F	7	1-4	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Vukasin Masic	G	17	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Tyrone Riley IV	G	34	1-6	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Aidan Braccia	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

100.6Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency100.6

-7.4Net Efficiency7.4

52.0%Effective FG%44.8%

56.6%True Shooting %49.2%

23.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

37.3%Free Throw Rate58.6%

45.1%3-Point Rate41.4%

0.76Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

San Francisco won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.