Oregon

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.6%Oregon

54.4%Rutgers

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADRutgers -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINERutgers -119

Rutgers

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon 72

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreRutgers 74

Team Comparison

OregonMetricRutgers

48.9MMH Power Index45.9

106.4Offensive Efficiency104.2

110.7Defensive Efficiency112.2

-4.3Net Efficiency-8.0

6.0Strength of Schedule3.9

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.6

66.7Tempo67.4

49.9%Effective FG%47.4%

17.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

36.9%Free Throw Rate36.3%

-2.9Average Margin-5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Oregon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOregon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.9–45.9), offensive efficiency (106.4–104.2), defensive efficiency (110.7–112.2), net efficiency (-4.3–-8.0).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-1.6–-6.7), ball security (15.0–17.8).

Final

Oregon

85—88

Rutgers

Rutgers by 3 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OregonTEAM STATRutgers

30-66FG26-60

45.0%FG%43.0%

13-323PT6-18

41.0%3PT%33.0%

12-16FT30-34

75.0%FT%88.0%

43Rebounds32

16Offensive Rebounds10

19Assists10

17Turnovers7

5Steals10

2Blocks2

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Bittle	C	30	11-21	3-8	3-3	8	2	1	0	28
Wei Lin	G	33	8-14	6-12	1-2	1	5	2	0	23
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	41	4-9	1-4	5-6	13	2	0	1	14
Takai Simpkins	G	24	2-7	1-3	2-2	3	3	0	0	7
Dezdrick Lindsay	F	25	1-5	0-1	1-3	4	2	0	0	3
Jamari Phillips	G	14	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Drew Carter	G	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Devon Pryor	F	27	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	3	1	1	2
Sean Stewart	F	15	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Ege Demir	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tariq Francis	G	30	10-16	0-1	10-11	4	4	0	0	30
Jamichael Davis	G	31	3-9	2-4	5-6	5	3	1	0	13
Darren Buchanan Jr.	G	30	6-7	1-1	0-0	3	2	1	1	13
Lino Mark	G	26	3-6	0-1	7-8	1	0	2	0	13
Harun Zrno	G	24	2-7	2-5	2-2	4	0	1	0	8
Dylan Grant	F	17	0-4	0-3	6-6	1	0	0	0	6
Kaden Powers	G	17	1-6	1-3	0-1	3	1	0	0	3
Chris Nwuli	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Bryce Dortch	F	27	0-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	4	1	0
Emmanuel Ogbole	C	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

115.0Offensive Efficiency119.1

119.1Defensive Efficiency115.0

-4.1Net Efficiency4.1

55.3%Effective FG%48.3%

57.7%True Shooting %57.8%

22.8%Turnover Rate9.6%

24.2%Free Throw Rate56.7%

48.5%3-Point Rate30.0%

1.12Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

Rutgers won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.