Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.7%Northwestern State

68.3%Nicholls

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNicholls -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL141.2

MODEL MONEYLINENicholls -215

Nicholls

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 68

Projected Total141.2

Projected ScoreNicholls 73

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricNicholls

41.3MMH Power Index43.6

104.0Offensive Efficiency105.3

109.0Defensive Efficiency109.0

-5.0Net Efficiency-3.7

-1.6Strength of Schedule-0.4

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

63.6Tempo68.7

49.5%Effective FG%51.0%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.3%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate35.3%

-3.2Average Margin-2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nicholls HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNicholls holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.3–104.0), net efficiency (-3.7–-5.0), strength of schedule (-0.4–-1.6).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (41.2–35.3).

Final

Northwestern State

72—74

Nicholls

Nicholls by 2 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATNicholls

26-56FG27-54

46.0%FG%50.0%

5-223PT5-21

23.0%3PT%24.0%

15-21FT15-31

71.0%FT%48.0%

36Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists12

12Turnovers10

5Steals7

2Blocks3

24Fouls20

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	31	10-20	3-8	6-6	1	0	0	0	29
Willie Williams	F	35	7-9	0-0	0-2	12	4	0	0	14
Izzy Miles	G	28	5-8	2-3	2-2	4	0	1	1	14
Chip Brunt	G	20	2-3	0-1	1-3	4	0	0	0	5
Chris Mubiru	G	31	1-4	0-3	2-2	6	3	0	1	4
Kordrick Turner	F	6	1-3	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	0	4
Moustapha Loum	F	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Landyn Jumawan	G	32	0-4	0-4	0-0	3	2	4	0	0
Justin Redmond	G	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Quentin Bolton	G	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Omar Adegbola	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
CJ Larry	PG	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Nicholls

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Searles	G	35	6-12	3-8	3-5	6	3	1	1	18
Jalik Dunkley	G	36	6-9	0-0	5-14	7	0	0	1	17
Jalin Rice	G	24	5-8	0-2	2-4	2	2	1	0	12
Sincere Malone	F	29	3-4	0-0	2-3	5	3	3	0	8
Trae English	G	22	3-7	1-3	1-2	0	1	1	0	8
Zee Hamoda	G	16	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	5
Nick Krass	G	16	1-3	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Grant Sanders	F	7	1-2	0-0	1-1	2	0	1	0	3
Christian Winborne	G	15	0-6	0-5	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

103.7Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.6Defensive Efficiency103.7

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

50.9%Effective FG%54.6%

54.6%True Shooting %53.8%

17.4%Turnover Rate14.3%

37.5%Free Throw Rate57.4%

39.3%3-Point Rate38.9%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Nicholls won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.