Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.7%Alabama State

64.3%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -180

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 76

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 81

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricArkansas-Pine Bluff

38MMH Power Index38.7

101.7Offensive Efficiency106.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency111.6

-5.7Net Efficiency-5.2

-6.2Strength of Schedule-6.0

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

71.9Tempo72.6

48.2%Effective FG%51.4%

18.2%Turnover Rate18.5%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

35.8%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-4.1Average Margin-3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–38.0), offensive efficiency (106.4–101.7), net efficiency (-5.2–-5.7), strength of schedule (-6.0–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.4–111.6), ball security (18.2–18.5), offensive rebounding (32.6–29.3).

Final

Alabama State

79—90

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 11 • 75.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATArkansas-Pine Bluff

27-61FG23-51

44.0%FG%45.0%

6-193PT10-19

32.0%3PT%53.0%

19-26FT34-41

73.0%FT%83.0%

29Rebounds41

9Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists17

11Turnovers16

10Steals5

10Blocks3

26Fouls22

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Asjon Anderson	G	33	7-16	3-8	6-6	1	4	1	0	23
Cameron Palesse	G	37	8-11	1-1	2-2	4	1	2	0	19
Micah Simpson	G	37	5-17	2-8	0-0	3	4	3	1	12
Damarien Yates	G	27	2-7	0-2	4-5	4	0	1	0	8
R'Chaun King	F	16	2-3	0-0	4-4	7	1	1	2	8
Jerquarius Stanback	F	25	2-4	0-0	2-5	5	0	1	6	6
Kevin Alabi	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	2
Tyler Mason	F	7	0-2	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	0	1
Mario Andrews	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Jordon Marshall	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Mirhosseini	G	36	6-16	4-10	5-5	3	1	0	0	21
Ramel Lloyd Jr.	G	29	5-7	2-3	7-10	4	0	1	0	19
Quion Williams	G	39	4-10	1-1	8-9	10	8	0	1	17
Jaquan Scott	F	16	3-8	0-0	4-4	8	1	0	0	10
Milhan Charles	G	29	1-5	0-1	7-8	8	0	2	1	9
Trevon Payton	G	37	2-3	1-2	3-5	4	6	2	0	8
Ahmad Johnson	G	11	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	1	6
Anthony Sellars	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dennis Asoro	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.0Possessions75.0

105.3Offensive Efficiency120.0

120.0Defensive Efficiency105.3

-14.7Net Efficiency14.7

49.2%Effective FG%54.9%

53.9%True Shooting %63.9%

14.6%Turnover Rate21.5%

42.6%Free Throw Rate80.4%

31.1%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Arkansas-Pine Bluff won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 75.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.