Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

98.6%Utah State

1.4%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -26.7

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -7043

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 88

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScoreAir Force 61

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricAir Force

65.7MMH Power Index23

119.7Offensive Efficiency91.3

103.1Defensive Efficiency118.5

16.6Net Efficiency-27.2

3.5Strength of Schedule6.2

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

68.6Tempo67.4

56.9%Effective FG%49.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate21.9%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

39.1%Free Throw Rate35.9%

11.4Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–23.0), offensive efficiency (119.7–91.3), defensive efficiency (103.1–118.5), net efficiency (16.6–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–3.5).

Final

Utah State

99—62

Air Force

Utah State by 37 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATAir Force

38-65FG21-51

58.0%FG%41.0%

12-263PT6-20

46.0%3PT%30.0%

11-17FT14-19

65.0%FT%74.0%

40Rebounds25

14Offensive Rebounds7

23Assists11

7Turnovers13

7Steals3

1Blocks2

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
MJ Collins Jr.	G	24	8-14	2-6	2-3	3	0	1	0	20
Kolby King	G	24	4-7	4-7	3-3	3	4	1	0	15
Mason Falslev	G	27	4-6	1-2	4-5	8	3	2	0	13
Adlan Elamin	F	14	6-9	1-2	0-1	3	1	0	0	13
Luke Kearney	F	8	3-5	2-3	2-2	1	1	1	0	10
Garry Clark	F	17	3-4	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	6
Zach Keller	F	15	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	0	6
Elijah Perryman	G	22	2-6	0-1	0-0	3	5	0	1	4
Drake Allen	G	11	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	3	0	0	4
Jordy Barnes	G	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Tucker Anderson	F	13	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	3
Karson Templin	F	11	1-3	0-1	0-2	3	2	0	0	2

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Walker	F	26	4-4	0-0	4-5	6	1	0	0	12
Kam Sanders	G	28	3-8	1-2	4-5	4	3	0	0	11
Eli Robinson	F	34	4-8	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	1	9
Lucas Hobin	F	27	3-10	3-7	0-2	1	0	0	0	9
A.J. Patterson	G	16	4-5	0-0	1-1	1	2	0	0	9
Brendan Martin	F	3	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Ethan Greenberg	G	26	0-9	0-7	2-2	5	3	2	0	2
Wesley Celichowski	C	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Kolby Gilles	F	10	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Justin Hinds	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Sam Imade	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Josh Gatete	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

149.8Offensive Efficiency93.8

93.8Defensive Efficiency149.8

56.0Net Efficiency-56.0

67.7%Effective FG%47.1%

67.7%True Shooting %51.6%

10.6%Turnover Rate19.7%

26.2%Free Throw Rate37.3%

40.0%3-Point Rate39.2%

3.29Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Utah State won by 37 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.