Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.2%Cincinnati

48.8%West Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWest Virginia -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL137.8

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -105

West Virginia

21-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 68

Projected Total137.8

Projected ScoreWest Virginia 69

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricWest Virginia

61.5MMH Power Index56.5

105.3Offensive Efficiency108.2

97.3Defensive Efficiency100.7

8.0Net Efficiency7.5

5.1Strength of Schedule2.9

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

69.4Tempo65.3

50.6%Effective FG%51.5%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

30.7%Free Throw Rate35.6%

5.5Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–56.5), defensive efficiency (97.3–100.7), net efficiency (8.0–7.5), strength of schedule (5.1–2.9).

West Virginia COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.2–105.3), shooting efficiency (51.5–50.6), ball security (16.8–17.0).

Final

Cincinnati

60—62

West Virginia

West Virginia by 2 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATWest Virginia

22-62FG22-48

35.0%FG%46.0%

12-353PT11-23

34.0%3PT%48.0%

4-9FT7-13

44.0%FT%54.0%

33Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds6

19Assists9

8Turnovers15

7Steals6

2Blocks1

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Celestine	G	25	5-11	5-9	0-0	5	0	0	0	15
Day Day Thomas	G	34	3-10	3-8	0-0	2	5	1	0	9
Jizzle James	G	29	3-13	2-8	0-0	2	4	4	0	8
Sencire Harris	G	17	2-7	0-2	3-5	6	1	1	0	7
Tyler McKinley	F	9	3-3	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	6
Baba Miller	F	34	2-5	0-2	0-0	7	6	1	0	4
Moustapha Thiam	C	27	2-6	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	2	4
Shon Abaev	G	12	1-5	1-3	1-3	1	0	0	0	4
Keyshuan Tillery	G	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Halvine Dzellat	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

West Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Honor Huff	G	38	7-14	6-10	4-6	8	1	1	0	24
Chance Moore	G	24	6-10	1-3	1-5	4	0	1	0	14
Treysen Eaglestaff	F	26	3-8	2-5	2-2	7	2	2	0	10
DJ Thomas	F	15	3-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	7
Amir Jenkins	G	20	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	5
Brenen Lorient	F	25	1-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Jasper Floyd	G	26	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	3	1	0	0
Harlan Obioha	C	24	0-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	0
Jackson Fields	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

94.0Offensive Efficiency97.2

97.2Defensive Efficiency94.0

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

45.2%Effective FG%57.3%

45.3%True Shooting %57.2%

12.4%Turnover Rate23.7%

14.5%Free Throw Rate27.1%

56.5%3-Point Rate47.9%

2.38Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

West Virginia won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.