Tennessee

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Tennessee

58.5%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -141

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee 76

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreLouisville 80

Team Comparison

TennesseeMetricLouisville

68.6MMH Power Index67.1

115.8Offensive Efficiency118.6

102.1Defensive Efficiency102.2

13.7Net Efficiency16.4

7.8Strength of Schedule6.0

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

68.1Tempo71.0

51.6%Effective FG%56.9%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.8%

44.5%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

38.6%Free Throw Rate34.1%

9.3Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.6–67.1), defensive efficiency (102.1–102.2), strength of schedule (7.8–6.0), recent form (3.3–1.4).

Louisville COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.6–115.8), net efficiency (16.4–13.7), shooting efficiency (56.9–51.6).

Final

Tennessee

77—55

Louisville

Tennessee by 22 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TennesseeTEAM STATLouisville

30-53FG16-60

57.0%FG%27.0%

10-193PT10-39

53.0%3PT%26.0%

7-11FT13-13

64.0%FT%100.0%

40Rebounds26

12Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists11

20Turnovers15

8Steals12

4Blocks4

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	34	7-13	4-7	1-3	2	7	3	1	19
Chaz Lanier	Guard	29	7-15	3-6	2-2	2	1	0	0	19
Felix Okpara	F	27	4-4	0-0	2-3	6	0	0	1	10
Jordan Gainey	Guard	26	3-5	1-3	2-2	4	4	2	0	9
Igor Milicic Jr.	Forward	12	3-4	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Cade Phillips	F	21	3-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	6
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	33	1-4	1-2	0-0	7	0	3	0	3
J.P. Estrella	F	11	1-4	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	1	2
Bishop Boswell	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Cameron Carr	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reyne Smith	Guard	23	5-13	4-12	4-4	5	1	0	0	18
Noah Waterman	Forward	16	3-7	3-6	1-1	1	0	1	0	10
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	27	2-7	1-4	3-3	4	4	6	0	8
Kasean Pryor	F	24	1-7	0-5	4-4	2	1	1	1	6
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	21	2-12	0-5	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
J'Vonne Hadley	G	28	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	1	1	0	3
Khani Rooths	F	4	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Koren Johnson	G	21	1-6	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
James Scott	F	20	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	2	1	0
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	16	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

114.6Offensive Efficiency81.8

81.8Defensive Efficiency114.6

32.7Net Efficiency-32.7

66.0%Effective FG%35.0%

66.1%True Shooting %41.6%

30.2%Turnover Rate22.0%

20.8%Free Throw Rate21.7%

35.8%3-Point Rate65.0%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.