George Washington

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%George Washington

62.7%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -168

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorge Washington 74

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreDayton 77

Team Comparison

George WashingtonMetricDayton

59.8MMH Power Index59.9

115.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

105.2Defensive Efficiency101.5

10.2Net Efficiency7.0

3.1Strength of Schedule5.7

0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

70.5Tempo68.3

55.0%Effective FG%52.0%

18.2%Turnover Rate16.9%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

35.6%Free Throw Rate47.6%

7.2Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–59.8), defensive efficiency (101.5–105.2), strength of schedule (5.7–3.1), recent form (6.4–0.9).

George Washington COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.4–108.5), net efficiency (10.2–7.0), shooting efficiency (55.0–52.0).

Final

George Washington

72—79

Dayton

Dayton by 7 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

George WashingtonTEAM STATDayton

25-52FG23-55

48.0%FG%42.0%

10-283PT6-20

36.0%3PT%30.0%

12-20FT27-30

60.0%FT%90.0%

35Rebounds28

14Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists17

22Turnovers11

6Steals14

3Blocks—

25Fouls16

Player Box Score

George Washington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Dinkins	G	33	8-12	5-8	3-3	2	2	2	0	24
Garrett Johnson	F	23	5-11	2-6	2-2	2	0	0	0	14
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	27	4-5	1-1	2-2	6	1	0	1	11
Rafael Castro	F	30	3-5	0-0	2-5	7	3	1	2	8
Christian Jones	G	26	3-8	1-4	1-5	5	2	1	0	8
Trey Autry	G	25	1-9	1-8	2-3	5	0	1	0	5
Luke Hunger	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Bubu Benjamin	G	19	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Jean Aranguren	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Javon Bennett	G	38	4-20	3-9	9-10	1	2	2	20
Keonte Jones	G	34	5-6	1-1	4-4	5	3	2	15
Jordan Derkack	G	27	3-6	2-3	5-7	4	2	4	13
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	33	5-12	0-4	2-2	4	3	1	12
Jaiun Simon	F	30	3-5	0-1	6-6	9	3	1	12
Bryce Heard	G	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	4
Jacob Conner	F	19	1-4	0-2	1-1	3	1	3	3
Sean Pouedet	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

103.7Offensive Efficiency113.8

113.8Defensive Efficiency103.7

-10.1Net Efficiency10.1

57.7%Effective FG%47.3%

58.5%True Shooting %57.0%

31.7%Turnover Rate15.9%

38.5%Free Throw Rate54.5%

53.8%3-Point Rate36.4%

0.41Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

Dayton won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.