Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

94.2%Toledo

5.8%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -15.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -1624

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 85

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 70

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricNorthern Illinois

58.8MMH Power Index29.2

116.0Offensive Efficiency99.7

109.6Defensive Efficiency111.6

6.4Net Efficiency-11.9

2.3Strength of Schedule-2.1

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

69.8Tempo69.7

55.1%Effective FG%48.5%

14.6%Turnover Rate21.3%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

30.3%Free Throw Rate39.6%

4.5Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–29.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–99.7), defensive efficiency (109.6–111.6), net efficiency (6.4–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–30.4), free throw rate (39.6–30.3).

Final

Toledo

75—61

Northern Illinois

Toledo by 14 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

29-58FG22-56

50.0%FG%39.0%

5-123PT10-29

42.0%3PT%34.0%

12-19FT7-11

63.0%FT%64.0%

31Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists13

13Turnovers21

12Steals7

4Blocks4

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	31	5-6	2-2	6-7	4	1	2	0	18
Sonny Wilson	G	37	7-16	2-2	1-2	4	5	5	0	17
Austin Parks	C	29	6-10	0-0	1-4	5	2	0	1	13
Sean Craig	F	36	5-9	0-2	0-2	5	2	1	0	10
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	35	3-10	0-3	4-4	5	5	4	1	10
Mynor Strong	G	15	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	2	2
Will James Jr.	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Ducommun	G	34	6-15	4-10	1-4	2	2	0	0	17
Makhai Valentine	G	33	3-10	3-7	0-0	6	2	1	0	9
Gustav Winther	F	21	4-7	1-1	0-0	5	1	1	0	9
Taj Walters	G	36	3-4	1-2	1-1	13	0	0	2	8
Gianni Cobb	G	24	2-8	0-2	3-4	1	3	4	0	7
Carlos Coronado	G	9	2-4	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Hassan Washington	F	21	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	1	2
Daemar Kelly	G	16	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Jao Ituka	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

105.5Offensive Efficiency85.8

85.8Defensive Efficiency105.5

19.7Net Efficiency-19.7

54.3%Effective FG%48.2%

55.9%True Shooting %49.8%

18.0%Turnover Rate29.9%

32.8%Free Throw Rate19.6%

20.7%3-Point Rate51.8%

1.15Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

Toledo won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.