NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.2%NC State

23.8%Boston College

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -320

Boston College

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 78

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreBoston College 72

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricBoston College

60.1MMH Power Index45.1

118.4Offensive Efficiency100.0

108.6Defensive Efficiency104.8

9.8Net Efficiency-4.8

6.4Strength of Schedule4.8

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

70.2Tempo67.4

55.1%Effective FG%47.1%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

35.7%Free Throw Rate33.2%

6.9Average Margin-3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–45.1), offensive efficiency (118.4–100.0), net efficiency (9.8–-4.8), strength of schedule (6.4–4.8).

Boston College COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–108.6).

Final

NC State

79—71

Boston College

NC State by 8 • 60.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATBoston College

30-62FG23-45

48.0%FG%51.0%

13-223PT9-18

59.0%3PT%50.0%

6-12FT16-22

50.0%FT%73.0%

27Rebounds33

12Offensive Rebounds10

18Assists11

4Turnovers16

11Steals2

3Blocks3

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darrion Williams	F	34	8-18	4-7	2-4	4	2	1	1	22
Terrance Arceneaux	G	21	4-6	3-3	1-2	2	0	2	1	12
Matt Able	G	32	4-7	3-4	0-1	6	2	2	0	11
Quadir Copeland	G	25	3-6	0-1	2-3	3	10	3	0	8
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	24	3-5	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	1	7
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	33	2-10	2-6	0-0	2	3	1	0	6
Alyn Breed	G	15	2-6	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Musa Sagnia	F	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Scottie Ebube	C	3	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	4

Boston College

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fred Payne	G	30	7-13	3-6	7-8	2	4	0	0	24
Donald Hand Jr.	G	32	4-8	3-5	3-5	1	2	1	0	14
Boden Kapke	F	21	2-5	0-1	4-5	6	0	1	0	8
Jayden Hastings	F	27	3-3	0-0	1-2	9	0	0	1	7
Luka Toews	G	20	2-4	2-3	0-0	0	3	0	0	6
Aidan Shaw	G	26	2-3	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	2	5
Marko Radunovic	G	11	2-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Chase Forte	G	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Caleb Steger	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.6Possessions60.6

130.4Offensive Efficiency117.2

117.2Defensive Efficiency130.4

13.2Net Efficiency-13.2

58.9%Effective FG%61.1%

58.3%True Shooting %64.0%

6.7%Turnover Rate26.0%

19.4%Free Throw Rate48.9%

35.5%3-Point Rate40.0%

4.50Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

NC State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 60.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.