Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%Fresno State

48.5%San José State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -106

San José State

9-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 75

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreSan José State 74

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricSan José State

47.1MMH Power Index42

104.9Offensive Efficiency108.7

104.9Defensive Efficiency118.5

0.0Net Efficiency-9.8

1.5Strength of Schedule1.8

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.6

69.4Tempo66.2

51.3%Effective FG%50.8%

18.2%Turnover Rate15.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

35.5%Free Throw Rate34.2%

0.0Average Margin-6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–42.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–118.5), net efficiency (0.0–-9.8), recent form (-6.0–-8.6).

San José State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.7–104.9), strength of schedule (1.8–1.5), ball security (15.2–18.2).

Final

Fresno State

70—55

San José State

Fresno State by 15 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATSan José State

27-52FG21-55

52.0%FG%38.0%

6-183PT8-28

33.0%3PT%29.0%

10-14FT5-7

71.0%FT%71.0%

39Rebounds21

11Offensive Rebounds6

17Assists14

16Turnovers11

6Steals6

2Blocks2

11Fouls16

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DeShawn Gory	F	37	8-13	0-1	0-4	13	0	0	0	16
Zaon Collins	G	36	6-8	0-1	2-2	6	7	2	0	14
David Douglas Jr.	G	14	4-5	3-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	13
Cameron Faas	G	26	4-7	3-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	11
Wilson Jacques	C	33	2-6	0-0	4-4	10	5	1	0	8
Jake Heidbreder	G	40	2-11	0-6	2-2	1	4	3	0	6
Makhan Diouf	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	2
Bastien Rieber	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Matteo Porto	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Melvin Bell Jr.	G	37	5-7	2-3	4-5	6	3	1	0	16
Jermaine Washington	G	38	4-14	2-8	0-0	2	6	3	0	10
Pasha Goodarzi	G	27	2-6	2-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Adrian Myers	F	26	2-8	1-5	1-2	2	2	1	1	6
Ben Roseborough	G	11	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	1	5
Sadraque NgaNga	F	20	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Japhet Moupadele	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Colby Garland	G	10	1-6	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Douglas Langford	F	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Marcus Overstreet	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

110.2Offensive Efficiency86.6

86.6Defensive Efficiency110.2

23.6Net Efficiency-23.6

57.7%Effective FG%45.5%

59.7%True Shooting %47.1%

25.1%Turnover Rate17.4%

26.9%Free Throw Rate12.7%

34.6%3-Point Rate50.9%

1.06Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.