San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%San Diego State

61.7%Nevada

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNevada -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.6

MODEL MONEYLINENevada -161

Nevada

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 73

Projected Total149.6

Projected ScoreNevada 76

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricNevada

60.1MMH Power Index59.8

110.3Offensive Efficiency112.4

99.3Defensive Efficiency105.7

11.0Net Efficiency6.7

3.8Strength of Schedule3.7

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

70.8Tempo67.7

53.2%Effective FG%50.2%

17.2%Turnover Rate14.8%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate46.0%

7.8Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–59.8), defensive efficiency (99.3–105.7), net efficiency (11.0–6.7), strength of schedule (3.8–3.7).

Nevada COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.4–110.3), recent form (7.8–0.4), ball security (14.8–17.2).

Final

San Diego State

73—68

Nevada

San Diego State by 5 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATNevada

28-54FG21-59

52.0%FG%36.0%

4-173PT8-28

24.0%3PT%29.0%

13-19FT18-20

68.0%FT%90.0%

38Rebounds31

12Offensive Rebounds13

18Assists17

13Turnovers9

7Steals8

5Blocks1

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Byrd	G	32	6-13	2-6	0-0	4	5	2	1	14
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	28	5-9	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	1	10
BJ Davis	G	27	2-8	0-4	6-7	7	4	3	0	10
Miles Heide	F	23	5-5	0-0	0-1	7	0	0	2	10
Taj DeGourville	G	20	3-9	0-2	4-5	6	2	0	0	10
Magoon Gwath	F	19	3-3	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	1	7
Sean Newman Jr.	G	15	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	5
Pharaoh Compton	F	8	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Elzie Harrington	G	10	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	2	1	0	2
Tae Simmons	F	7	1-3	0-0	0-2	0	1	1	0	2
Jeremiah Oden	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Price	F	31	3-7	0-1	11-12	10	3	4	0	17
Tayshawn Comer	G	28	5-15	2-9	4-4	2	2	0	0	16
Chuck Bailey III	G	31	5-13	3-6	0-0	2	3	1	0	13
Corey Camper Jr.	G	28	4-11	0-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	8
Kaleb Lowery	F	24	1-2	1-2	2-2	7	1	1	1	5
Amire Robinson	G	13	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Myles Walker	G	10	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Peyton White	G	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Ethan Croley	F	6	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Tyler Rolison	G	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jeriah Coleman	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

113.5Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency113.5

7.8Net Efficiency-7.8

55.6%Effective FG%42.4%

57.9%True Shooting %49.6%

20.3%Turnover Rate14.0%

35.2%Free Throw Rate33.9%

31.5%3-Point Rate47.5%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.