American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%American University

64.0%Colgate

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColgate -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINEColgate -178

Colgate

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 73

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreColgate 77

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricColgate

48.2MMH Power Index48.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency111.7

105.8Defensive Efficiency109.0

4.8Net Efficiency2.7

-4.3Strength of Schedule-2.0

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

67.5Tempo68.4

52.6%Effective FG%54.5%

15.7%Turnover Rate14.8%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

30.1%Free Throw Rate30.0%

3.3Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (105.8–109.0), net efficiency (4.8–2.7), recent form (2.2–-0.3), offensive rebounding (28.0–26.9).

Colgate COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.8–48.2), offensive efficiency (111.7–110.6), strength of schedule (-2.0–-4.3).

Final

American University

62—64

Colgate

Colgate by 2 • 59.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATColgate

25-52FG23-51

48.0%FG%45.0%

9-173PT4-13

53.0%3PT%31.0%

3-6FT14-23

50.0%FT%61.0%

27Rebounds36

6Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists14

11Turnovers10

4Steals4

—Blocks2

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Geoff Sprouse	G	30	5-8	4-6	0-1	1	1	0	14
Matt Mayock	F	31	4-7	2-2	0-0	2	1	0	10
Julen Iturbe	F	29	4-8	1-2	0-0	4	3	1	9
Wyatt Nausadis	G	20	3-4	2-2	0-0	1	2	0	8
Chris Eagan	F	11	4-7	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	8
Madden Collins	G	14	2-7	0-1	1-3	8	5	0	5
Greg Jones	F	31	2-7	0-2	0-0	4	2	2	4
Kade Sebastian	G	28	0-3	0-2	2-2	3	0	1	2
Luke Brown	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	2

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Tweedy	G	32	6-10	2-5	5-8	3	2	1	0	19
Andrew Alekseyenko	F	24	5-9	1-1	2-5	7	2	0	0	13
Sam Wright	F	24	4-8	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	9
Josh Ahayere	G	28	2-5	0-1	4-4	6	1	2	0	8
Jalen Cox	G	28	2-6	0-0	0-2	3	5	0	0	4
Kyle Carlesimo	G	25	1-8	0-5	2-2	6	3	1	0	4
Ayomi Odetoyinbo	F	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	4
Ethan Brown	F	8	1-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Brady Cummins	G	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.4Possessions59.4

104.4Offensive Efficiency107.7

107.7Defensive Efficiency104.4

-3.4Net Efficiency3.4

56.7%Effective FG%49.0%

56.5%True Shooting %51.7%

18.4%Turnover Rate17.0%

11.5%Free Throw Rate45.1%

32.7%3-Point Rate25.5%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Colgate won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 59.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.