Saint Louis

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.2%Saint Louis

59.8%VCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -149

VCU

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 79

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreVCU 80

Team Comparison

Saint LouisMetricVCU

66.7MMH Power Index65.7

120.8Offensive Efficiency116.4

97.6Defensive Efficiency103.3

23.2Net Efficiency13.1

0.3Strength of Schedule5.4

0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency6.0

72.2Tempo69.5

59.9%Effective FG%53.7%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.1%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

33.9%Free Throw Rate42.9%

16.8Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–65.7), offensive efficiency (120.8–116.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–103.3), net efficiency (23.2–13.1).

VCU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.4–0.3), recent form (6.0–0.1), ball security (15.1–17.1).

Final

Saint Louis

71—62

VCU

Saint Louis by 9 • 77.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint LouisTEAM STATVCU

27-63FG18-63

43.0%FG%29.0%

6-203PT6-24

30.0%3PT%25.0%

11-16FT20-24

69.0%FT%83.0%

42Rebounds42

6Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists7

12Turnovers12

9Steals10

4Blocks8

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kellen Thames	G	22	7-10	0-0	4-6	10	3	1	0	18
Dion Brown	G	23	4-7	1-2	1-2	5	1	1	1	10
Quentin Jones	G	31	4-10	1-2	0-0	3	3	1	1	9
Robbie Avila	C	25	2-6	0-2	4-4	2	2	2	0	8
Trey Green	G	21	3-9	2-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Paul Otieno	F	20	4-7	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	2	8
Amari McCottry	G	19	2-6	2-3	0-2	7	3	1	0	6
Brady Dunlap	F	19	1-5	0-2	2-2	3	1	0	0	4
Ishan Sharma	F	20	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	0	2	0	0

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	22	4-12	2-6	7-7	4	2	1	0	17
Lazar Djokovic	F	32	3-9	0-0	5-6	12	0	2	2	11
Jadrian Tracey	G	25	3-6	2-4	0-0	2	2	4	0	8
Michael Belle	F	23	2-9	1-3	3-5	7	0	0	2	8
Barry Evans	F	34	3-10	0-3	0-0	6	0	1	1	6
Brandon Jennings	G	28	1-8	0-2	3-4	4	0	1	3	5
Ahmad Nowell	G	17	2-4	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Nyk Lewis	G	19	0-5	0-3	2-2	1	2	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

77.0Possessions77.0

92.2Offensive Efficiency80.5

80.5Defensive Efficiency92.2

11.7Net Efficiency-11.7

47.6%Effective FG%33.3%

50.3%True Shooting %41.7%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.5%

25.4%Free Throw Rate38.1%

31.7%3-Point Rate38.1%

1.17Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 77.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.