California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.1%California

86.9%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -12.7

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -663

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 70

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreVirginia 83

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricVirginia

56.5MMH Power Index68.9

111.8Offensive Efficiency119.0

104.8Defensive Efficiency101.8

7.0Net Efficiency17.2

2.8Strength of Schedule5.2

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

69.9Tempo67.6

52.6%Effective FG%55.0%

14.9%Turnover Rate16.0%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

36.8%Free Throw Rate33.2%

4.9Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–56.5), offensive efficiency (119.0–111.8), defensive efficiency (101.8–104.8), net efficiency (17.2–7.0).

California COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–16.0), free throw rate (36.8–33.2).

Final

California

60—84

Virginia

Virginia by 24 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATVirginia

19-54FG30-60

35.0%FG%50.0%

3-193PT9-29

16.0%3PT%31.0%

19-22FT15-23

86.0%FT%65.0%

26Rebounds45

6Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists23

9Turnovers11

8Steals5

3Blocks9

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dai Dai Ames	G	32	4-10	0-3	10-10	2	1	1	0	18
Justin Pippen	G	31	5-12	2-5	5-6	1	3	5	0	17
John Camden	F	30	5-8	1-4	4-5	6	2	1	1	15
Semetri Carr	G	23	2-6	0-2	0-1	8	2	0	0	4
Mantas Kocanas	C	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	4
Milos Ilic	C	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Chris Bell	F	22	0-6	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Lee Dort	F	15	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Nolan Dorsey	G	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
DeJuan Campbell	G	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Thomas	G	25	7-12	4-8	2-4	4	3	0	2	20
Sam Lewis	G	33	4-12	0-7	4-4	2	4	0	1	12
Thijs De Ridder	F	24	5-8	1-2	1-4	4	4	0	0	12
Johann Grunloh	C	21	4-6	1-2	3-4	8	2	0	1	12
Ugonna Onyenso	C	18	4-9	0-1	4-5	9	0	1	4	12
Chance Mallory	G	25	3-4	1-2	1-2	2	7	3	1	8
Dallin Hall	G	24	2-4	2-4	0-0	6	2	1	0	6
Martin Carrere	G	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Devin Tillis	F	16	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Elijah Gertrude	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Carter Lang	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Owen Odom	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Desmond Roberts	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

88.0Offensive Efficiency123.2

123.2Defensive Efficiency88.0

-35.2Net Efficiency35.2

38.0%Effective FG%57.5%

46.5%True Shooting %59.2%

13.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

40.7%Free Throw Rate38.3%

35.2%3-Point Rate48.3%

1.33Assist / Turnover2.09

Game Summary

Virginia won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.