Grand Canyon

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Grand Canyon

61.7%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -161

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 73

Projected Total149.5

Projected ScoreBoise State 76

Team Comparison

Grand CanyonMetricBoise State

59.8MMH Power Index59.5

109.2Offensive Efficiency113.9

99.1Defensive Efficiency107.1

10.1Net Efficiency6.8

2.0Strength of Schedule4.2

9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

69.3Tempo68.6

52.1%Effective FG%52.7%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.0%

31.2%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

41.0%Free Throw Rate42.7%

7.0Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.9–109.2), strength of schedule (4.2–2.0), shooting efficiency (52.7–52.1), ball security (17.0–17.6).

Grand Canyon COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.8–59.5), defensive efficiency (99.1–107.1), net efficiency (10.1–6.8).

Final

Grand Canyon

75—58

Boise State

Grand Canyon by 17 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Grand CanyonTEAM STATBoise State

30-60FG17-49

50.0%FG%35.0%

6-213PT4-19

29.0%3PT%21.0%

9-12FT20-25

75.0%FT%80.0%

38Rebounds28

10Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists6

12Turnovers14

8Steals4

6Blocks2

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Henley	G	33	9-15	0-3	4-6	6	3	1	0	22
Makaih Williams	G	24	6-12	2-5	2-2	2	0	3	1	16
Efe Demirel	C	28	6-10	0-0	1-1	8	0	0	2	13
Caleb Shaw	G	26	4-7	2-4	0-1	4	3	0	0	10
Nana Owusu-Anane	F	38	3-7	2-4	0-0	8	2	2	2	8
Dusty Stromer	G	16	1-4	0-2	2-2	3	0	1	0	4
Brian Moore Jr.	G	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	2
Wilhelm Breidenbach	F	12	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Kaleb Smith	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javan Buchanan	F	33	5-12	1-5	7-10	3	0	0	0	18
Drew Fielder	C	20	4-9	2-2	0-0	3	1	0	1	10
Andrew Meadow	F	33	2-2	0-0	5-7	2	0	1	0	9
Pearson Carmichael	F	24	3-8	1-4	0-0	5	2	0	0	7
Aginaldo Neto	G	33	2-6	0-2	2-2	1	2	2	0	6
Dylan Andrews	G	21	0-4	0-2	4-4	4	0	0	0	4
Dominic Parolin	F	18	0-3	0-2	2-2	2	1	1	1	2
Spencer Ahrens	F	9	1-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
RJ Keene II	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Ethan Lathan	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bhan Buom	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency85.5

85.5Defensive Efficiency110.6

25.1Net Efficiency-25.1

55.0%Effective FG%38.8%

57.1%True Shooting %47.6%

17.7%Turnover Rate20.6%

20.0%Free Throw Rate51.0%

35.0%3-Point Rate38.8%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.43

Game Summary

Grand Canyon won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.