Maine

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.2%Maine

95.8%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -20.1

PROJECTED TOTAL133.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -2281

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMaine 57

Projected Total133.2

Projected ScoreUMBC 77

Team Comparison

MaineMetricUMBC

35.6MMH Power Index59.1

95.6Offensive Efficiency113.0

104.6Defensive Efficiency99.0

-9.0Net Efficiency14.0

-1.8Strength of Schedule-5.6

-6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

65.4Tempo65.5

50.5%Effective FG%54.3%

19.0%Turnover Rate14.3%

19.4%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

38.5%Free Throw Rate34.1%

-5.9Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–35.6), offensive efficiency (113.0–95.6), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.6), net efficiency (14.0–-9.0).

Maine COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-5.6), free throw rate (38.5–34.1).

Final

Maine

62—69

UMBC

UMBC by 7 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MaineTEAM STATUMBC

26-59FG24-56

44.0%FG%43.0%

4-183PT4-10

22.0%3PT%40.0%

6-11FT17-23

55.0%FT%74.0%

32Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists7

9Turnovers8

4Steals2

4Blocks2

14Fouls8

Player Box Score

Maine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Biel	F	36	11-18	2-6	3-4	10	0	0	3	27
Ryan Mabrey	G	34	4-9	2-5	0-0	4	0	1	1	10
Logan Carey	G	28	4-9	0-1	0-0	5	2	1	0	8
Caleb Crawford	G	24	3-6	0-1	1-1	0	2	0	0	7
Ace Flagg	F	35	3-7	0-2	0-2	5	1	2	0	6
Amare Allen	F	18	0-6	0-2	2-4	3	0	0	0	2
Yanis Bamba	F	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Bashir N'Galang	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Isaac Bonilla	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jah'Likai King	G	36	4-13	2-4	5-7	6	1	0	0	15
Ace Valentine	G	34	4-11	0-2	6-8	3	3	2	0	14
Caden Diggs	F	23	6-9	1-2	0-0	6	0	0	0	13
Riley Jacobs	F	24	4-6	0-0	2-2	7	0	0	0	10
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	33	3-8	0-1	3-3	4	1	0	0	9
Daylon Dickerson	F	7	2-2	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	1	4
Cougar Downing	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Paul Greene	F	9	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Josh Odunowo	F	28	0-5	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

95.2Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency95.2

-10.8Net Efficiency10.8

47.5%Effective FG%46.4%

48.3%True Shooting %51.6%

13.8%Turnover Rate12.3%

18.6%Free Throw Rate41.1%

30.5%3-Point Rate17.9%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

UMBC won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.