Stonehill

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.6%Stonehill

77.4%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL139.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -342

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStonehill 66

Projected Total139.5

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 74

Team Comparison

StonehillMetricCentral Connecticut

37.9MMH Power Index44.4

97.5Offensive Efficiency111.4

100.7Defensive Efficiency107.0

-3.2Net Efficiency4.4

-5.4Strength of Schedule-7.7

-3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

68.1Tempo66.3

48.0%Effective FG%54.0%

19.1%Turnover Rate15.9%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

29.2%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-2.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–37.9), offensive efficiency (111.4–97.5), net efficiency (4.4–-3.2), recent form (-0.5–-3.4).

Stonehill COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.7–107.0), strength of schedule (-5.4–-7.7), offensive rebounding (28.4–28.2).

Final

Stonehill

69—76

Central Connecticut

Central Connecticut by 7 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StonehillTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

27-60FG25-47

45.0%FG%53.0%

8-223PT6-14

36.0%3PT%43.0%

7-11FT20-24

64.0%FT%83.0%

30Rebounds29

11Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists10

13Turnovers13

5Steals9

2Blocks6

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

Stonehill

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davante Hackett	G	29	7-12	2-6	3-4	2	0	1	0	19
Hermann Koffi	G	31	6-9	5-7	0-0	2	0	2	0	17
Chas Stinson	G	29	5-10	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	12
Raymond Espinal-Guzman	F	32	2-10	0-3	1-2	10	4	0	0	5
Rex Sunderland	G	28	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	5	2	1	4
Ridvan Tutic	F	17	2-6	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Ethan Meuser	F	13	2-7	0-3	0-1	2	0	0	0	4
Anthony Holden	G	9	1-2	1-2	1-2	1	0	0	1	4
Pearse McGuinn	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Trenton Ruth	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	32	7-13	1-4	7-8	4	0	1	1	22
Jay Rodgers	G	30	5-11	0-2	11-12	2	6	1	0	21
Melo Sanchez	G	29	3-8	2-4	1-1	2	1	1	0	9
James Jones	G	33	3-3	2-2	0-1	3	0	3	0	8
Daniel James	F	13	3-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	1	7
Max Frazier	F	27	3-4	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	4	6
Ashton Reynolds	G	15	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	3
Elijah Parker	G	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Roddy Jones	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

104.1Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency104.1

-10.6Net Efficiency10.6

51.7%Effective FG%59.6%

52.9%True Shooting %65.1%

19.3%Turnover Rate19.9%

18.3%Free Throw Rate51.1%

36.7%3-Point Rate29.8%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.