UNC Wilmington

27-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.2%UNC Wilmington

17.8%Northeastern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -462

Northeastern

8-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 81

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreNortheastern 71

Team Comparison

UNC WilmingtonMetricNortheastern

59.2MMH Power Index40.9

114.1Offensive Efficiency107.1

101.7Defensive Efficiency115.7

12.4Net Efficiency-8.6

-1.5Strength of Schedule2.7

5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.0

66.9Tempo69.9

51.1%Effective FG%52.7%

14.8%Turnover Rate16.4%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %27.0%

41.7%Free Throw Rate29.9%

8.3Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–40.9), offensive efficiency (114.1–107.1), defensive efficiency (101.7–115.7), net efficiency (12.4–-8.6).

Northeastern COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.7–-1.5), shooting efficiency (52.7–51.1).

Final

UNC Wilmington

87—78

Northeastern

UNC Wilmington by 9 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC WilmingtonTEAM STATNortheastern

25-57FG29-61

44.0%FG%48.0%

7-193PT6-21

37.0%3PT%29.0%

30-34FT14-24

88.0%FT%58.0%

41Rebounds29

12Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists18

13Turnovers7

2Steals8

7Blocks5

22Fouls23

Player Box Score

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick Wessler	F	26	7-9	0-0	5-5	11	0	0	2	19
Nolan Hodge	G	36	2-9	2-5	11-11	6	1	0	4	17
Madison Durr	G	17	3-5	1-2	7-7	1	1	0	0	14
Greedy Williams	G	37	4-8	1-1	2-2	2	7	0	0	11
Christian May	G	26	4-11	1-6	2-3	6	1	0	0	11
Noah Ross	G	35	3-8	1-2	3-6	7	3	1	1	10
Jahnathan Lamothe	G	14	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Makoi Mabor Makoi	F	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	2

Northeastern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Youri Fritz	F	29	8-9	0-0	5-9	2	2	0	2	21
Xavier Abreu	G	22	7-15	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	15
William Kermoury	G	25	3-9	3-8	0-0	1	3	3	0	9
Ryan Williams	G	20	4-7	0-3	1-1	3	3	3	0	9
Mike Loughnane	G	38	3-7	0-1	1-1	4	6	0	3	7
Luca Soroa Schaller	G	6	1-4	1-3	3-4	2	0	0	0	6
Ty Francis	F	36	1-3	0-0	2-4	6	1	0	0	4
JB Frankel	G	14	1-5	1-3	1-2	1	1	0	0	4
Petar Pinter	C	6	1-1	0-0	1-3	1	0	1	0	3
Haris Elezovic	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

119.5Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency119.5

12.4Net Efficiency-12.4

50.0%Effective FG%52.5%

59.5%True Shooting %53.9%

17.5%Turnover Rate9.8%

59.6%Free Throw Rate39.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate34.4%

1.08Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

UNC Wilmington won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.