App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.8%App State

23.2%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL141.5

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -331

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 74

Projected Total141.5

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 68

Team Comparison

App StateMetricGeorgia State

54.2MMH Power Index38.9

110.9Offensive Efficiency101.3

101.7Defensive Efficiency107.5

9.2Net Efficiency-6.2

-4.2Strength of Schedule-1.7

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

64.9Tempo69.5

51.1%Effective FG%45.3%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.6%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.8%Free Throw Rate37.4%

6.0Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–38.9), offensive efficiency (110.9–101.3), defensive efficiency (101.7–107.5), net efficiency (9.2–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-4.2).

Final

App State

52—50

Georgia State

App State by 2 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATGeorgia State

20-61FG19-58

33.0%FG%33.0%

6-273PT4-18

22.0%3PT%22.0%

6-10FT8-13

60.0%FT%62.0%

49Rebounds33

17Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists8

12Turnovers7

2Steals4

5Blocks5

13Fouls18

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Luke Wilson	C	31	5-7	0-0	4-8	13	2	0	1	14
Jalen Tot	G	29	5-14	4-11	0-0	5	1	1	0	14
Kasen Jennings	G	32	3-14	2-8	2-2	5	1	1	1	10
Alonzo Dodd	G	37	3-10	0-3	0-0	2	3	0	0	6
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	33	2-8	0-2	0-0	14	0	0	0	4
Jason Clarke Jr.	G	19	1-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Chad Moodie	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	3	2
Andrin Njock	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jacari Brim	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jelani Hamilton	G	37	5-18	2-4	5-5	6	1	3	0	17
Christian Beam	C	16	3-4	0-0	1-4	9	0	0	2	7
Micah Tucker	G	31	3-11	0-3	0-0	2	3	0	1	6
Malachi Brown	G	28	2-9	1-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Anthony Enoh	F	23	2-4	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	1	5
Trey Scott III	F	27	2-6	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Ayouba Berthe	G	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
James Cooper	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jakai Newton	G	10	0-3	0-2	1-2	0	0	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

83.9Offensive Efficiency80.6

80.6Defensive Efficiency83.9

3.2Net Efficiency-3.2

37.7%Effective FG%36.2%

39.5%True Shooting %39.0%

19.8%Turnover Rate11.1%

16.4%Free Throw Rate22.4%

44.3%3-Point Rate31.0%

0.83Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

App State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.