Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.4%Central Arkansas

37.6%Bellarmine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -166

Bellarmine

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 83

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreBellarmine 80

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricBellarmine

54MMH Power Index44.9

113.9Offensive Efficiency119.6

105.2Defensive Efficiency122.1

8.7Net Efficiency-2.5

-3.9Strength of Schedule-2.8

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

71.0Tempo66.9

54.3%Effective FG%60.0%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %22.7%

30.7%Free Throw Rate35.3%

6.1Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–44.9), defensive efficiency (105.2–122.1), net efficiency (8.7–-2.5), recent form (9.8–0.3).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.6–113.9), strength of schedule (-2.8–-3.9), shooting efficiency (60.0–54.3).

Final

Central Arkansas

78—84

Bellarmine

Bellarmine by 6 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATBellarmine

26-74FG31-60

35.0%FG%52.0%

13-423PT12-32

31.0%3PT%38.0%

13-16FT10-14

81.0%FT%71.0%

42Rebounds39

16Offensive Rebounds5

15Assists18

9Turnovers12

8Steals5

2Blocks5

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ty Robinson	G	40	7-16	5-13	5-5	9	5	1	1	24
Camren Hunter	G	39	9-22	2-11	0-1	10	2	2	1	20
Javion Guy-King	G	33	6-13	4-7	2-4	7	1	0	0	18
Harry Beauchamp	G	20	3-5	2-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Malchiah Marable	F	22	0-2	0-0	4-4	2	0	0	0	4
Luke Moore	G	31	0-8	0-3	2-2	4	3	2	0	2
Cole McCormick	F	29	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	2	3	0	2
Truman Byrne	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Tyler Lee	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Parker Applegate	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kenyon Goodin	G	41	8-16	4-11	0-0	2	2	0	0	20
Jack Karasinski	F	20	6-11	3-7	2-2	1	0	0	0	17
Brian Waddell	F	38	6-11	0-2	3-3	6	2	1	3	15
Donovan Hunter	F	21	5-7	4-6	0-0	6	1	2	2	14
Tyler Doyle	G	36	3-6	1-2	2-2	4	5	1	0	9
Sam Donald	F	39	2-5	0-2	2-5	9	4	1	0	6
Michael Wilson Jr.	F	13	1-4	0-2	1-2	5	1	0	0	3
Darrius Bolden	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Grant Whitaker	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

105.1Offensive Efficiency113.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency105.1

-8.1Net Efficiency8.1

43.9%Effective FG%61.7%

47.8%True Shooting %63.0%

12.1%Turnover Rate16.3%

21.6%Free Throw Rate23.3%

56.8%3-Point Rate53.3%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Bellarmine won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.