Austin Peay

22-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.5%Austin Peay

45.5%Florida Gulf Coast

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -120

Florida Gulf Coast

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 79

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 78

Team Comparison

Austin PeayMetricFlorida Gulf Coast

54.8MMH Power Index48.6

115.0Offensive Efficiency110.5

103.1Defensive Efficiency109.2

11.9Net Efficiency1.3

-5.8Strength of Schedule-1.8

8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency0.7

71.0Tempo70.0

53.9%Effective FG%52.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.7%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

39.0%Free Throw Rate29.9%

8.4Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–48.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–110.5), defensive efficiency (103.1–109.2), net efficiency (11.9–1.3).

Florida Gulf Coast COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-5.8), offensive rebounding (32.3–30.3).

Final

Austin Peay

82—71

Florida Gulf Coast

Austin Peay by 11 • 69.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Austin PeayTEAM STATFlorida Gulf Coast

25-57FG26-56

44.0%FG%46.0%

14-313PT8-24

45.0%3PT%33.0%

18-25FT11-17

72.0%FT%65.0%

34Rebounds34

11Offensive Rebounds9

18Assists17

10Turnovers15

10Steals6

2Blocks3

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zyree Collins	PG	38	7-14	3-6	8-11	6	4	3	0	25
Tate McCubbin	G	34	5-16	4-11	1-2	7	1	3	0	15
Anton Brookshire	PG	22	2-5	2-4	6-6	1	3	0	0	12
Collin Parker	F	36	4-10	3-6	0-0	4	4	1	0	11
Rashaud Marshall	F	35	3-3	0-0	3-6	7	2	2	1	9
Matt Enright	PG	10	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Ja'Corey Robinson	PG	20	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	4	1	1	4
Creighton Morisch	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Florida Gulf Coast

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
J.R. Konieczny	F	37	7-14	2-7	4-6	8	1	1	0	20
Jordan Ellerbee	G	31	6-12	2-6	2-2	2	4	1	0	16
Michael Duax	F	26	5-7	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	1	12
Isaiah Malone	F	30	2-6	1-1	2-2	7	1	1	2	7
Darren Williams	G	10	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Rory Stewart	F	18	2-6	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Rahmir Barno	G	34	1-4	0-0	1-4	6	6	3	0	3
Tristen Guillouette	C	6	1-3	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Jack Reddick	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Matt McCarthy	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.0Possessions69.0

118.8Offensive Efficiency102.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency118.8

15.9Net Efficiency-15.9

56.1%Effective FG%53.6%

59.5%True Shooting %55.4%

14.7%Turnover Rate21.4%

43.9%Free Throw Rate30.4%

54.4%3-Point Rate42.9%

1.80Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 69.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.