Denver

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Denver

63.8%South Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Dakota State -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Dakota State -176

South Dakota State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDenver 78

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 83

Team Comparison

DenverMetricSouth Dakota State

49.1MMH Power Index49.6

119.2Offensive Efficiency110.6

119.2Defensive Efficiency106.9

0.0Net Efficiency3.7

-2.6Strength of Schedule-2.2

4.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.5

69.5Tempo68.2

55.3%Effective FG%52.6%

14.2%Turnover Rate16.2%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %31.5%

35.3%Free Throw Rate30.3%

0.0Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–49.1), defensive efficiency (106.9–119.2), net efficiency (3.7–0.0), strength of schedule (-2.2–-2.6).

Denver COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.2–110.6), recent form (4.0–0.5), shooting efficiency (55.3–52.6).

Final

Denver

79—87

South Dakota State

South Dakota State by 8 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DenverTEAM STATSouth Dakota State

30-69FG31-62

43.0%FG%50.0%

9-243PT6-18

38.0%3PT%33.0%

10-15FT19-25

67.0%FT%76.0%

34Rebounds41

14Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists15

8Turnovers9

6Steals4

2Blocks2

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carson Johnson	G	39	10-22	5-9	2-2	4	3	2	0	27
Jeremiah Burke	F	39	8-22	1-9	3-4	8	2	0	1	20
Logan Kinsey	F	37	5-9	0-0	2-2	6	2	0	0	12
Zane Nelson	G	20	5-10	1-4	0-0	2	3	1	0	11
Shaun Wysocki	F	17	1-3	1-1	2-2	3	0	0	1	5
Julius Rollins	G	10	1-2	1-1	0-2	0	0	0	0	3
Gabe Oldham	F	35	0-1	0-0	1-3	7	0	3	0	1
Didier Maleng	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Damon Wilkinson	C	29	8-11	0-0	3-4	9	1	0	1	19
Joe Sayler	G	35	7-17	1-4	3-3	3	3	0	1	18
Jaden Jackson	G	35	4-11	1-3	8-8	7	4	0	0	17
Matthew Mors	F	28	3-6	1-3	3-4	3	1	3	0	10
Kalen Garry	G	34	4-9	1-3	0-1	4	4	0	0	9
Caleb Delzell	F	12	2-4	1-3	0-1	3	1	0	0	5
Bubz Alvarez	G	13	1-2	1-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Alec Squires	C	10	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Luke Haertle	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

113.7Offensive Efficiency125.2

125.2Defensive Efficiency113.7

-11.5Net Efficiency11.5

50.0%Effective FG%54.8%

51.9%True Shooting %58.9%

11.4%Turnover Rate13.1%

21.7%Free Throw Rate40.3%

34.8%3-Point Rate29.0%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

South Dakota State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.