Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Texas State

63.8%Southern Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -176

Southern Miss

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 72

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 76

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricSouthern Miss

49.4MMH Power Index49.9

107.7Offensive Efficiency106.1

103.4Defensive Efficiency104.9

4.3Net Efficiency1.2

-4.7Strength of Schedule-0.2

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.8

68.6Tempo70.4

51.3%Effective FG%49.9%

18.4%Turnover Rate18.4%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

36.0%Free Throw Rate43.9%

2.9Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (107.7–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–104.9), net efficiency (4.3–1.2), recent form (9.1–3.8).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (49.9–49.4), strength of schedule (-0.2–-4.7), free throw rate (43.9–36.0).

Final

Texas State

70—80

Southern Miss

Southern Miss by 10 • 77.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATSouthern Miss

25-63FG29-60

40.0%FG%48.0%

6-253PT4-13

24.0%3PT%31.0%

14-22FT18-24

64.0%FT%75.0%

37Rebounds39

11Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists11

14Turnovers15

11Steals8

6Blocks4

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Drone	G	44	6-15	2-7	4-7	8	2	4	0	18
Kaden Gumbs	G	28	6-8	1-1	2-2	6	2	4	0	15
DJ Hall	F	31	4-9	0-1	4-7	8	1	0	1	12
Franck Emmou	G	18	4-8	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	10
Kyndall Davis	G	37	2-9	1-7	1-2	5	0	1	1	6
Robert Fields	C	20	1-2	0-0	3-4	4	0	1	0	5
Makai Willis	C	7	2-6	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Tay Knox	C	20	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	3	0
Jalen Bolden	G	18	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	1	0
Jaelyn Lee	G	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylik Weeks	F	42	10-21	0-2	5-7	7	4	2	0	25
Chiante' Tramble	G	19	3-6	2-2	6-6	0	1	1	0	14
Dylan Brumfield	G	34	4-7	0-0	5-6	2	1	1	0	13
Djahi Binet	F	38	6-7	0-0	0-0	15	1	1	2	12
Curt Lewis	G	39	2-6	2-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Israel Hart	G	25	2-7	0-3	0-2	0	3	2	1	4
Felipe Patino	G	3	1-1	0-0	2-3	1	0	0	0	4
Tegra Izay	C	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Brewer Carruth	G	15	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.0Possessions77.0

90.9Offensive Efficiency103.9

103.9Defensive Efficiency90.9

-13.0Net Efficiency13.0

44.4%Effective FG%51.7%

47.7%True Shooting %56.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate19.4%

34.9%Free Throw Rate40.0%

39.7%3-Point Rate21.7%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Southern Miss won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 77.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.