UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.1%UC Davis

69.9%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -232

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 74

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 80

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricUC Santa Barbara

48.4MMH Power Index51.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency113.2

103.7Defensive Efficiency106.1

3.5Net Efficiency7.1

-1.9Strength of Schedule-2.0

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

72.4Tempo68.5

52.3%Effective FG%54.8%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.7%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

41.5%Free Throw Rate37.9%

2.5Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.2), net efficiency (7.1–3.5), shooting efficiency (54.8–52.3).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–106.1), strength of schedule (-1.9–-2.0), recent form (-0.1–-1.7).

Final

UC Davis

93—86

UC Santa Barbara

UC Davis by 7 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

30-58FG29-53

52.0%FG%55.0%

13-323PT12-24

41.0%3PT%50.0%

20-24FT16-25

83.0%FT%64.0%

33Rebounds26

8Offensive Rebounds4

16Assists20

11Turnovers9

8Steals4

4Blocks1

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nils Cooper	G	27	7-11	1-4	4-6	7	4	3	1	19
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	25	5-8	4-6	2-2	1	0	0	0	16
Marcus Wilson	G	24	4-7	1-4	5-6	4	5	1	0	14
Connor Sevilla	G	36	3-8	3-5	4-4	3	0	1	0	13
Niko Rocak	F	23	4-6	1-2	3-4	3	0	0	2	12
Brayden Fagbemi	G	23	4-5	0-1	2-2	7	5	1	0	10
Isaiah Chappell	F	24	3-11	3-9	0-0	5	0	2	0	9
Jalen Stokes	G	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	1	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miro Little	G	24	7-10	2-4	4-6	4	5	0	0	20
CJ Shaw	G	33	4-7	2-3	8-10	1	3	0	0	18
Aidan Mahaney	G	36	6-12	2-3	2-5	2	3	1	0	16
Zion Sensley	G	27	4-9	2-7	0-0	1	1	1	0	10
Marvin McGhee IV	G	20	3-4	2-3	0-0	3	2	2	0	8
Colin Smith	F	22	3-4	1-2	0-0	7	1	0	0	7
Hosana Kitenge	F	18	1-5	0-1	2-4	1	2	0	1	4
Koat Keat Tong	F	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Zachiah Clark	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Michael Simcoe	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Evans Kipruto	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

130.6Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency130.6

9.8Net Efficiency-9.8

62.9%Effective FG%66.0%

67.0%True Shooting %66.3%

15.2%Turnover Rate12.9%

41.4%Free Throw Rate47.2%

55.2%3-Point Rate45.3%

1.45Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.