Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.1%Idaho State

79.9%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -398

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 74

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 84

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricNorthern Colorado

45.9MMH Power Index53.7

111.0Offensive Efficiency116.0

113.4Defensive Efficiency107.6

-2.4Net Efficiency8.4

0.2Strength of Schedule-4.3

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

67.1Tempo71.1

52.2%Effective FG%56.9%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.3%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

39.1%Free Throw Rate27.8%

-1.6Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–45.9), offensive efficiency (116.0–111.0), defensive efficiency (107.6–113.4), net efficiency (8.4–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-4.3), offensive rebounding (33.9–27.9), free throw rate (39.1–27.8).

Final

Idaho State

72—85

Northern Colorado

Northern Colorado by 13 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

26-57FG29-56

46.0%FG%52.0%

3-173PT16-35

18.0%3PT%46.0%

17-23FT11-15

74.0%FT%73.0%

35Rebounds31

12Offensive Rebounds7

2Assists16

10Turnovers8

4Steals5

3Blocks1

15Fouls23

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamison Guerra	PG	27	9-13	2-3	6-8	2	1	1	0	26
Cheikh Sow	G	27	4-7	0-2	2-3	12	1	1	1	10
Gus Etchison	PG	13	4-9	0-2	2-4	3	0	1	0	10
Louis Bond	G	19	3-3	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	9
Evan Otten	F	19	3-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	6
Blake Daberkow	F	11	1-4	0-2	3-4	1	0	0	0	5
Connor Hollenbeck	F	27	0-4	0-2	2-2	5	0	1	0	2
Lachlan Brewer	G	26	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Caleb Van De Griend	F	11	1-6	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Martin Kheil	G	19	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Quin Patterson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Bloch	G	35	9-12	6-9	2-2	4	2	3	0	26
Brock Wisne	F	29	6-8	3-4	2-2	4	0	0	0	17
Ibu Yamazaki	F	33	5-15	4-13	2-2	5	0	0	0	16
Quinn Denker	G	36	3-8	1-4	3-5	3	11	1	1	10
Ring Nyeri	F	11	2-5	1-2	1-2	4	0	0	0	6
Egan Shields	C	27	2-3	0-0	1-2	6	0	1	0	5
Vincent Delano	G	27	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	5
Tanner Braketa	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ariik Mawien	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

110.8Offensive Efficiency130.8

130.8Defensive Efficiency110.8

-20.0Net Efficiency20.0

48.2%Effective FG%66.1%

53.0%True Shooting %67.3%

15.2%Turnover Rate12.5%

40.4%Free Throw Rate26.8%

29.8%3-Point Rate62.5%

0.20Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.