UC Riverside

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.1%UC Riverside

37.9%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Riverside -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Riverside -164

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 79

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 77

Team Comparison

UC RiversideMetricCal State Bakersfield

41.2MMH Power Index32.2

103.1Offensive Efficiency100.2

110.1Defensive Efficiency112.6

-7.0Net Efficiency-12.4

0.5Strength of Schedule-1.7

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

70.7Tempo73.0

49.8%Effective FG%46.4%

18.5%Turnover Rate18.6%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

35.2%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-4.9Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Riverside HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Riverside holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.2–32.2), offensive efficiency (103.1–100.2), defensive efficiency (110.1–112.6), net efficiency (-7.0–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–28.5), free throw rate (43.8–35.2).

Final

UC Riverside

66—67

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Bakersfield by 1 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC RiversideTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

23-56FG23-62

41.0%FG%37.0%

10-223PT6-13

45.0%3PT%46.0%

10-16FT15-20

63.0%FT%75.0%

33Rebounds46

9Offensive Rebounds17

11Assists9

16Turnovers15

6Steals9

6Blocks4

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	40	5-15	2-6	7-8	2	2	2	0	19
Andrew Henderson	G	27	6-11	6-7	0-0	5	2	2	1	18
BJ Kolly	F	40	4-8	0-0	1-4	11	2	1	4	9
Osiris Grady	F	39	3-10	1-2	0-2	3	2	0	0	7
Tyler Jones	G	30	2-7	1-6	2-2	4	2	0	0	7
Jailen Daniel-Dalton	F	20	2-3	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	1	4
Ben Waller	G	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dailin Smith	G	35	9-20	5-7	7-10	5	1	4	1	30
AJ George	G	35	4-12	0-2	0-0	0	2	1	1	8
Ronald Jessamy	F	32	3-14	0-1	1-1	13	3	0	1	7
Jaden Alexander	G	11	2-2	1-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	7
Kadar Waller	G	34	2-6	0-1	2-2	4	3	3	0	6
Tom Mark	F	18	2-4	0-1	2-3	6	0	0	0	6
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	22	1-1	0-0	1-2	6	0	1	1	3
Mike Price	G	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bentley Waller	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

94.2Offensive Efficiency95.6

95.6Defensive Efficiency94.2

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

50.0%Effective FG%41.9%

51.9%True Shooting %46.9%

22.7%Turnover Rate21.6%

28.6%Free Throw Rate32.3%

39.3%3-Point Rate21.0%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.