Pacific

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.5%Pacific

43.5%Portland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPacific -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL148.6

MODEL MONEYLINEPacific -130

Portland

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePacific 75

Projected Total148.6

Projected ScorePortland 73

Team Comparison

PacificMetricPortland

49.6MMH Power Index42.7

109.9Offensive Efficiency104.8

104.0Defensive Efficiency110.6

5.9Net Efficiency-5.8

-1.5Strength of Schedule1.8

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.1

66.2Tempo71.0

53.5%Effective FG%52.0%

19.7%Turnover Rate19.3%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

30.9%Free Throw Rate36.9%

3.9Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pacific HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPacific holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–42.7), offensive efficiency (109.9–104.8), defensive efficiency (104.0–110.6), net efficiency (5.9–-5.8).

Portland COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-1.5), ball security (19.3–19.7), free throw rate (36.9–30.9).

Final

Pacific

89—90

Portland

Portland by 1 • 73.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PacificTEAM STATPortland

29-66FG31-66

44.0%FG%47.0%

9-223PT13-23

41.0%3PT%57.0%

22-26FT15-18

85.0%FT%83.0%

39Rebounds34

17Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists15

10Turnovers14

5Steals1

2Blocks3

17Fouls21

Player Box Score

Pacific

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Rochelin	G	42	6-12	3-5	5-6	8	0	1	0	20
Isaac Jack	F	21	8-12	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	0	18
Elias Ralph	F	42	5-10	1-4	5-6	7	3	1	2	16
TJ Wainwright	G	35	2-9	2-4	5-5	0	0	0	0	11
Jaden Clayton	G	36	2-8	1-4	4-4	2	12	1	0	9
Kajus Kublickas	G	14	2-5	1-3	1-2	2	1	0	0	6
Jaion Pitt	F	23	2-3	0-0	0-1	5	0	2	0	4
Alexis Marmolejos	G	6	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
KC Ibekwe	C	6	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joel Foxwell	G	43	9-20	5-6	4-4	1	7	0	0	27
Matúš Hronský	F	39	9-16	6-9	3-3	5	0	0	0	27
James O'Donnell	F	24	5-6	0-0	3-5	5	1	0	2	13
Cameron Williams	F	31	2-9	0-0	5-5	10	1	0	0	9
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	20	3-5	1-3	0-1	3	2	0	0	7
Garrett Nuckolls	G	34	2-6	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	1	4
Mikah Ballew	G	22	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Dante Censori-Hercules	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.5Possessions73.5

121.1Offensive Efficiency122.4

122.4Defensive Efficiency121.1

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

50.8%Effective FG%56.8%

56.8%True Shooting %60.4%

14.0%Turnover Rate18.5%

39.4%Free Throw Rate27.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate34.8%

1.70Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Portland won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 73.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.