Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.8%Cal State Fullerton

72.2%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -260

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 75

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 83

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricUC San Diego

49.4MMH Power Index53.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency108.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency100.7

1.7Net Efficiency7.7

-1.2Strength of Schedule-1.3

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

76.3Tempo69.8

52.6%Effective FG%53.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate33.2%

1.3Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–49.4), defensive efficiency (100.7–107.1), net efficiency (7.7–1.7), recent form (5.4–2.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–108.4), strength of schedule (-1.2–-1.3), ball security (15.1–16.4).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

88—71

UC San Diego

Cal State Fullerton by 17 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATUC San Diego

29-58FG22-55

50.0%FG%40.0%

15-293PT9-34

52.0%3PT%26.0%

15-24FT18-20

63.0%FT%90.0%

28Rebounds39

6Offensive Rebounds12

21Assists12

6Turnovers17

11Steals1

2Blocks—

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Williams	G	35	8-14	6-10	0-0	2	3	3	0	22
Landon Seaman	F	15	5-9	3-4	1-4	2	0	1	0	14
Joshua Ward	G	33	3-6	2-4	4-6	2	2	3	0	12
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	33	3-7	1-5	5-8	4	6	1	0	12
Bryce Cofield	G	26	5-9	0-1	2-2	6	4	1	0	12
Kendrick De Luna	F	25	2-3	0-0	3-4	4	4	2	2	7
Jaden Henderson	G	12	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Bailey Nunn	G	11	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
KJ Garris	G	10	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Bol Dengdit	F	23	5-9	3-6	2-3	5	2	0	15
Alex Chaikin	G	27	4-11	2-5	4-4	1	1	0	14
Aidan Burke	G	31	3-4	1-2	3-3	7	2	0	10
Emanuel Prospere II	G	24	4-10	1-5	0-0	6	3	0	9
Hudson Mayes	G	19	2-2	0-0	4-4	5	1	1	8
Leo Beath	F	29	2-10	0-7	2-2	4	1	0	6
Trap Johnson	G	12	2-5	2-5	0-0	3	0	0	6
Cade Pendleton	F	3	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	2
Tom Beattie	G	26	0-3	0-3	1-2	0	2	0	1
Dimitrije Vukicevic	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Jaden Vance	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

126.6Offensive Efficiency102.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency126.6

24.5Net Efficiency-24.5

62.9%Effective FG%48.2%

63.4%True Shooting %55.0%

8.6%Turnover Rate24.5%

41.4%Free Throw Rate36.4%

50.0%3-Point Rate61.8%

3.50Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.