Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.5%Valparaiso

71.5%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -251

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 75

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScoreMurray State 81

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricMurray State

49.9MMH Power Index53.6

106.6Offensive Efficiency115.0

105.8Defensive Efficiency111.0

0.8Net Efficiency4.0

0.3Strength of Schedule3.5

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

67.5Tempo72.3

48.7%Effective FG%54.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.3%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

40.0%Free Throw Rate39.1%

0.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–49.9), offensive efficiency (115.0–106.6), net efficiency (4.0–0.8), strength of schedule (3.5–0.3).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.8–111.0), recent form (-0.1–-9.5), ball security (15.6–16.3).

Final

Valparaiso

79—92

Murray State

Murray State by 13 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATMurray State

27-58FG31-65

47.0%FG%48.0%

7-163PT12-31

44.0%3PT%39.0%

18-22FT18-23

82.0%FT%78.0%

35Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists16

16Turnovers11

6Steals10

4Blocks5

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brody Whitaker	G	32	7-11	4-4	1-1	2	2	1	0	19
JT Pettigrew	F	35	5-15	0-4	5-6	4	1	2	0	15
Justus McNair	G	21	5-10	0-1	2-2	4	1	0	0	12
Rakim Chaney	G	27	3-11	2-5	2-2	5	4	1	0	10
Owen Dease	F	24	3-6	1-1	3-5	2	1	0	0	10
Shon Tupuola	C	33	3-3	0-0	2-2	12	0	0	3	8
Carter Hopoi	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Isaiah Barnes	G	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Mark Brown Jr.	G	10	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	1	0	1
Kyonte Thomas	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tucker Tornatta	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Jackson	G	24	6-12	2-5	7-8	1	5	0	0	21
Roman Domon	G	24	6-8	3-4	3-4	1	2	1	1	18
Brayden Shorter	G	15	5-10	5-10	2-2	1	0	1	0	17
Fred King	C	25	5-10	0-0	1-2	10	0	2	1	11
Layne Taylor	G	23	3-9	2-7	1-2	2	3	2	0	9
Mathis Courbon	G	18	2-3	0-0	3-4	3	4	1	1	7
Brock Vice	F	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
KJ Tenner	G	15	1-4	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	0	3
JJ Traynor	F	16	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Mason Miller	F	26	0-3	0-3	0-0	4	0	1	1	0
Dylan Anderson	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

105.8Offensive Efficiency123.2

123.2Defensive Efficiency105.8

-17.4Net Efficiency17.4

52.6%Effective FG%56.9%

57.7%True Shooting %60.6%

21.5%Turnover Rate14.7%

37.9%Free Throw Rate35.4%

27.6%3-Point Rate47.7%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Murray State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.