Evansville

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.6%Evansville

87.4%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -13.1

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -694

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEvansville 67

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreIndiana State 80

Team Comparison

EvansvilleMetricIndiana State

31.6MMH Power Index44.4

98.5Offensive Efficiency104.7

112.4Defensive Efficiency106.0

-13.9Net Efficiency-1.3

1.8Strength of Schedule0.1

-23.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

68.0Tempo70.3

50.0%Effective FG%53.6%

18.9%Turnover Rate19.5%

22.2%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

30.8%Free Throw Rate28.8%

-9.5Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–31.6), offensive efficiency (104.7–98.5), defensive efficiency (106.0–112.4), net efficiency (-1.3–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.1), ball security (18.9–19.5), free throw rate (30.8–28.8).

Final

Evansville

72—69

Indiana State

Evansville by 3 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

EvansvilleTEAM STATIndiana State

29-58FG26-66

50.0%FG%39.0%

10-223PT5-28

45.0%3PT%18.0%

4-4FT12-17

100.0%FT%71.0%

31Rebounds41

2Offensive Rebounds14

14Assists14

15Turnovers11

7Steals8

6Blocks2

13Fouls9

Player Box Score

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leif Moeller	G	34	7-11	3-4	0-0	8	8	1	1	17
AJ Casey	F	25	7-12	1-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	17
Joshua Hughes	F	35	6-13	2-7	0-0	6	2	1	1	14
Alex Hemenway	G	29	4-9	3-7	1-1	3	2	3	1	12
Trent Hundley	F	22	2-5	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
James Dyson-Merwe	F	20	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	3	4
Bryce Quinet	G	22	1-5	0-0	1-1	1	0	1	0	3
Kaia Berridge	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Scott	F	38	11-16	1-3	1-1	11	3	0	1	24
Camp Wagner	G	31	6-13	2-6	2-2	5	2	3	0	16
Derek Vorst	C	33	2-6	0-2	6-8	9	2	1	1	10
Sterling Young	G	19	3-8	1-3	2-4	2	1	2	0	9
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	22	2-9	0-4	0-0	2	3	0	0	4
Xavier Hall	G	30	1-7	0-5	1-2	2	1	1	0	3
Bruno Alocen	G	19	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Enel St. Bernard	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Sivert Waerstad Nordheim	G	3	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

100.0Offensive Efficiency95.8

95.8Defensive Efficiency100.0

4.2Net Efficiency-4.2

58.6%Effective FG%43.2%

60.1%True Shooting %46.6%

20.6%Turnover Rate15.5%

6.9%Free Throw Rate25.8%

37.9%3-Point Rate42.4%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Evansville won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.