UIC

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.0%UIC

56.0%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL145.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -127

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUIC 71

Projected Total145.2

Projected ScoreIllinois State 74

Team Comparison

UICMetricIllinois State

56.7MMH Power Index54.3

110.5Offensive Efficiency110.6

103.3Defensive Efficiency101.4

7.2Net Efficiency9.2

0.1Strength of Schedule1.0

9.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

68.3Tempo67.5

50.9%Effective FG%54.3%

17.6%Turnover Rate16.8%

36.8%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

37.2%Free Throw Rate32.0%

4.9Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–103.3), net efficiency (9.2–7.2), strength of schedule (1.0–0.1).

UIC COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (56.7–54.3), recent form (9.2–-4.4), offensive rebounding (36.8–28.3).

Final

UIC

63—59

Illinois State

UIC by 4 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UICTEAM STATIllinois State

25-61FG17-62

41.0%FG%27.0%

3-143PT8-35

21.0%3PT%23.0%

10-11FT17-22

91.0%FT%77.0%

44Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists15

15Turnovers12

6Steals7

1Blocks3

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

UIC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Abdul Momoh	F	29	7-9	0-0	1-1	6	2	0	0	15
Elijah Crawford	G	32	5-12	0-1	0-0	3	1	2	0	10
Ahmad Henderson II	G	24	4-12	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Andy Johnson	G	34	3-10	0-3	2-2	4	3	1	0	8
Josiah Hammons	G	16	2-3	2-3	2-2	2	1	0	1	8
Mekhi Lowery	G	22	2-7	0-0	2-2	6	0	2	0	6
Jayce Nathaniel	F	16	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Ante Beljan	F	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Rashund Washington Jr.	G	15	0-2	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Sam Silverstein	G	30	0-2	0-0	0-0	9	2	1	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mason Klabo	G	23	5-9	4-8	1-2	4	1	1	0	15
Ty Pence	G	35	6-8	1-3	0-2	5	1	1	1	13
Johnny Kinziger	G	42	2-14	1-9	6-6	3	5	2	0	11
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	26	2-8	1-3	3-4	0	1	0	0	8
Chase Walker	F	32	0-6	0-0	7-8	10	4	1	1	7
Boden Skunberg	G	33	2-12	1-8	0-0	8	1	1	0	5
Landon Wolf	G	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	5	0	1	0	0
Brandon Lieb	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jack Daugherty	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Landon Moore	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

90.8Offensive Efficiency85.0

85.0Defensive Efficiency90.8

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

43.4%Effective FG%33.9%

47.6%True Shooting %40.7%

21.7%Turnover Rate17.3%

18.0%Free Throw Rate35.5%

23.0%3-Point Rate56.5%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

UIC won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.