Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

77.0%Belmont

23.0%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -335

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 82

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreDrake 75

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricDrake

61.8MMH Power Index46.4

118.6Offensive Efficiency109.5

103.7Defensive Efficiency109.1

14.9Net Efficiency0.4

-0.2Strength of Schedule0.3

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

70.7Tempo68.6

60.7%Effective FG%52.2%

17.8%Turnover Rate14.9%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

32.7%Free Throw Rate34.4%

10.5Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–46.4), offensive efficiency (118.6–109.5), defensive efficiency (103.7–109.1), net efficiency (14.9–0.4).

Drake COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.3–-0.2), ball security (14.9–17.8), free throw rate (34.4–32.7).

Final

Belmont

78—76

Drake

Belmont by 2 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATDrake

24-63FG25-57

38.0%FG%44.0%

11-373PT17-38

30.0%3PT%45.0%

19-25FT9-14

76.0%FT%64.0%

43Rebounds33

16Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists16

14Turnovers17

14Steals6

2Blocks4

19Fouls24

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Lundblade	G	40	3-12	3-11	6-6	5	3	1	0	15
Eoin Dillon	F	25	5-9	3-6	1-2	3	3	1	1	14
Sam Orme	F	20	4-9	2-5	2-4	5	0	1	0	12
Drew Scharnowski	F	25	4-4	0-0	2-4	10	1	3	0	10
Isaiah West	G	33	2-5	1-2	4-4	5	3	5	0	9
Win Miller	G	10	2-3	1-2	1-1	0	0	1	0	6
Jabez Jenkins	G	17	1-6	0-2	3-4	3	0	0	0	5
Brigham Rogers	F	12	2-4	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	4
Jack Smiley	G	18	1-11	1-9	0-0	1	4	2	1	3

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eli Shetlar	G	37	9-13	8-12	0-0	3	1	0	1	26
Owen Larson	G	29	6-14	4-10	1-1	3	4	1	0	17
Isaiah Carr	F	18	3-4	0-0	6-10	6	1	0	3	12
Jaehshon Thomas	G	27	2-7	2-4	2-2	2	3	0	0	8
Jalen Quinn	G	26	3-10	2-5	0-0	6	4	2	0	8
Okku Federiko	F	15	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Andrew Alia	G	34	1-4	0-3	0-0	6	2	1	0	2
Griffen Goodbary	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	1	0	0
Braden Appelhans	G	5	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

107.1Offensive Efficiency104.4

104.4Defensive Efficiency107.1

2.7Net Efficiency-2.7

46.8%Effective FG%58.8%

52.1%True Shooting %59.7%

19.2%Turnover Rate23.4%

39.7%Free Throw Rate24.6%

58.7%3-Point Rate66.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Belmont won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.