North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.1%North Dakota State

24.9%Omaha

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -302

Omaha

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 80

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreOmaha 74

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricOmaha

59MMH Power Index44.5

115.4Offensive Efficiency110.2

100.8Defensive Efficiency110.8

14.6Net Efficiency-0.6

-4.6Strength of Schedule-2.5

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.5

69.6Tempo69.0

54.5%Effective FG%53.6%

15.5%Turnover Rate16.0%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

31.3%Free Throw Rate34.0%

10.1Average Margin-0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–44.5), offensive efficiency (115.4–110.2), defensive efficiency (100.8–110.8), net efficiency (14.6–-0.6).

Omaha COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.5–-4.6), free throw rate (34.0–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

78—76

Omaha

North Dakota State by 2 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATOmaha

30-54FG27-53

56.0%FG%51.0%

8-243PT9-22

33.0%3PT%41.0%

10-11FT13-14

91.0%FT%93.0%

21Rebounds30

5Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists19

8Turnovers12

6Steals4

4Blocks1

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Treyson Anderson	F	28	7-13	1-6	7-8	3	3	0	3	22
Trevian Carson	G	38	7-15	0-4	0-0	2	3	1	1	14
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	35	5-9	1-5	3-3	6	3	0	0	14
Markhi Strickland	G	27	3-5	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	6
Tay Smith	G	12	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Riley Massey	G	10	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	0	2	0	6
Noah Feddersen	F	12	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Andy Stefonowicz	G	25	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	3	2	0	3
Carson Smith	G	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Max Majerle	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Omaha

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Paul Djobet	G	30	7-14	3-7	5-5	6	5	0	0	22
Christian Richardson	C	30	9-10	0-0	3-3	1	0	1	0	21
Tony Osburn	G	38	5-10	4-8	2-2	2	1	1	0	16
Grant Stubblefield	G	32	3-7	0-2	1-2	2	7	2	0	7
Lance Waddles	G	15	2-6	2-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Valentino Simon	F	10	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Ja'Sean Glover	G	28	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	4	0	1	0
Brock Scholl	F	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Khamani Cooper	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

125.8Offensive Efficiency122.6

122.6Defensive Efficiency125.8

3.2Net Efficiency-3.2

63.0%Effective FG%59.4%

65.9%True Shooting %63.7%

12.9%Turnover Rate19.5%

20.4%Free Throw Rate26.4%

44.4%3-Point Rate41.5%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.