Mercyhurst

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Mercyhurst

55.5%Wagner

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWagner -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL139.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWagner -125

Wagner

14-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 69

Projected Total139.4

Projected ScoreWagner 71

Team Comparison

MercyhurstMetricWagner

45.5MMH Power Index42.9

105.2Offensive Efficiency105.5

102.2Defensive Efficiency106.1

3.0Net Efficiency-0.6

-5.7Strength of Schedule-5.0

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

65.9Tempo67.6

50.5%Effective FG%50.2%

14.4%Turnover Rate18.9%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

25.4%Free Throw Rate31.6%

2.0Average Margin-0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–42.9), defensive efficiency (102.2–106.1), net efficiency (3.0–-0.6), recent form (3.2–0.3).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (105.5–105.2), strength of schedule (-5.0–-5.7), offensive rebounding (34.0–26.8).

Final

Mercyhurst

70—69

Wagner

Mercyhurst by 1 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercyhurstTEAM STATWagner

24-49FG25-58

49.0%FG%43.0%

5-133PT10-21

38.0%3PT%48.0%

17-21FT9-16

81.0%FT%56.0%

28Rebounds37

1Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists13

5Turnovers12

6Steals2

7Blocks1

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bernie Blunt III	G	30	6-12	1-4	10-10	4	3	0	0	23
Qadir Martin	F	29	5-8	0-0	1-3	3	2	0	6	11
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	26	3-5	0-0	3-4	1	1	0	0	9
Jake Lemelman	G	28	3-9	2-4	0-0	3	3	1	0	8
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	21	4-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Christian Gamble	G	20	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	4	1	0	5
Kaden Fuhrmann	G	4	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Sean Lang	G	20	0-2	0-1	2-2	8	1	3	1	2
James Thomas	F	18	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	0	1
Cameron Johnson	F	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Jones	G	36	7-20	5-9	1-1	5	2	0	0	20
Eddie Placer	G	32	5-8	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	11
Michael Cooper	G	17	2-4	1-1	4-4	6	0	0	0	9
Bryan Akanmu	F	29	2-6	0-0	4-5	7	4	1	0	8
Jaden Baker	G	36	3-6	1-2	0-1	1	6	0	1	7
Binael Basil	F	18	3-5	0-0	0-3	5	0	1	0	6
Travis Gray	G	17	2-6	2-4	0-2	7	0	0	0	6
John Awoke	G	15	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

108.0Offensive Efficiency106.5

106.5Defensive Efficiency108.0

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

54.1%Effective FG%51.7%

59.3%True Shooting %52.6%

7.9%Turnover Rate18.0%

42.9%Free Throw Rate27.6%

26.5%3-Point Rate36.2%

3.20Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Mercyhurst won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.