NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.3%NC State

58.7%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida State -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -142

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 81

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreFlorida State 82

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricFlorida State

60.1MMH Power Index58.7

118.4Offensive Efficiency111.9

108.6Defensive Efficiency108.5

9.8Net Efficiency3.4

6.4Strength of Schedule5.7

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

70.2Tempo71.8

55.1%Effective FG%52.4%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

35.7%Free Throw Rate35.2%

6.9Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–58.7), offensive efficiency (118.4–111.9), net efficiency (9.8–3.4), strength of schedule (6.4–5.7).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.5–108.6), recent form (7.6–-11.9), offensive rebounding (30.3–28.2).

Final

NC State

113—69

Florida State

NC State by 44 • 77.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATFlorida State

38-69FG22-56

55.0%FG%39.0%

19-353PT5-23

54.0%3PT%22.0%

18-23FT20-29

78.0%FT%69.0%

44Rebounds25

11Offensive Rebounds6

20Assists7

9Turnovers13

11Steals5

7Blocks2

23Fouls22

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	30	7-13	5-10	2-3	6	1	2	1	21
Darrion Williams	F	32	6-15	3-7	5-6	10	5	1	0	20
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	26	6-7	0-0	7-8	5	0	0	4	19
Matt Able	G	24	5-11	5-7	0-0	5	2	0	0	15
Terrance Arceneaux	G	29	5-7	2-4	1-1	5	2	4	1	13
Quadir Copeland	G	18	4-6	1-2	1-1	1	6	3	0	10
Alyn Breed	G	18	3-5	2-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	8
Musa Sagnia	F	19	2-3	1-1	2-4	3	2	0	1	7
Colt Langdon	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jordan Snell	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Thomas Bassong	F	21	5-6	0-0	4-5	2	0	2	0	14
Kobe MaGee	G	23	2-8	2-6	4-6	2	1	0	0	10
Lajae Jones	G	22	4-10	1-3	1-1	3	0	2	0	10
Robert McCray V	G	21	4-7	0-1	2-6	2	1	0	0	10
Cam Miles	G	17	2-6	0-2	3-5	0	1	0	0	7
Alex Steen	F	17	1-1	0-0	4-4	3	1	0	0	6
Chauncey Wiggins	F	29	1-7	1-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
AJ Swinton	F	9	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Martin Somerville	G	25	1-7	0-4	0-0	5	1	1	0	2
Shah Muhammad	F	11	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	2	2
Alier Maluk	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

77.4Possessions77.4

146.0Offensive Efficiency89.1

89.1Defensive Efficiency146.0

56.8Net Efficiency-56.8

68.8%Effective FG%43.8%

70.7%True Shooting %49.4%

11.5%Turnover Rate16.9%

33.3%Free Throw Rate51.8%

50.7%3-Point Rate41.1%

2.22Assist / Turnover0.54

Game Summary

NC State won by 44 points. The game played at approximately 77.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.