New Hampshire

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.5%New Hampshire

96.5%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -20.9

PROJECTED TOTAL141.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -2757

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Hampshire 60

Projected Total141.2

Projected ScoreUMBC 81

Team Comparison

New HampshireMetricUMBC

34MMH Power Index59.1

99.6Offensive Efficiency113.0

107.5Defensive Efficiency99.0

-7.9Net Efficiency14.0

-3.4Strength of Schedule-5.6

-17.6Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

69.4Tempo65.5

47.6%Effective FG%54.3%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.3%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

29.4%Free Throw Rate34.1%

-5.5Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–34.0), offensive efficiency (113.0–99.6), defensive efficiency (99.0–107.5), net efficiency (14.0–-7.9).

New Hampshire COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.7–25.2).

Final

New Hampshire

74—75

UMBC

UMBC by 1 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New HampshireTEAM STATUMBC

31-59FG27-54

53.0%FG%50.0%

7-193PT8-19

37.0%3PT%42.0%

5-11FT13-16

45.0%FT%81.0%

36Rebounds23

11Offensive Rebounds3

12Assists11

10Turnovers4

2Steals3

—Blocks4

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

New Hampshire

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Belal El Shakery	F	29	7-11	0-0	4-9	13	4	1	18
John Squire	F	28	6-7	0-0	1-2	5	1	1	13
KiJan Robinson	G	28	5-8	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	11
Tyler Bike	G	14	3-3	3-3	0-0	0	0	0	9
Jack Graham	G	30	2-9	2-6	0-0	5	1	0	6
Comeh Emuobor	G	16	3-8	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	6
Davide Poser	F	30	2-6	1-5	0-0	2	2	0	5
R.J. Kennedy	G	20	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	4
Jon O'Neill	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Giannos Xanthopoulos	C	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	35	6-7	1-2	4-4	3	1	0	0	17
Jah'Likai King	G	33	5-10	2-4	3-4	3	2	1	0	15
Ace Valentine	G	36	6-14	0-3	0-0	3	4	0	0	12
Caden Diggs	F	24	3-8	2-4	2-2	5	2	0	1	10
Josh Odunowo	F	18	3-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Cougar Downing	G	16	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	16	2-5	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	1	5
Daylon Dickerson	F	5	0-0	0-0	4-6	0	0	0	0	4
Riley Jacobs	F	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

117.6Offensive Efficiency119.2

119.2Defensive Efficiency117.6

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

58.5%Effective FG%57.4%

57.6%True Shooting %60.9%

15.8%Turnover Rate6.4%

18.6%Free Throw Rate29.6%

32.2%3-Point Rate35.2%

1.20Assist / Turnover2.75

Game Summary

UMBC won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.