App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.8%App State

42.2%Coastal Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL142.1

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -137

Coastal Carolina

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 71

Projected Total142.1

Projected ScoreCoastal Carolina 71

Team Comparison

App StateMetricCoastal Carolina

54.2MMH Power Index46.8

110.9Offensive Efficiency104.0

101.7Defensive Efficiency103.0

9.2Net Efficiency1.0

-4.2Strength of Schedule-1.3

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

64.9Tempo70.5

51.1%Effective FG%48.7%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

39.8%Free Throw Rate33.0%

6.0Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–46.8), offensive efficiency (110.9–104.0), defensive efficiency (101.7–103.0), net efficiency (9.2–1.0).

Coastal Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.3–-4.2).

Final

App State

62—67

Coastal Carolina

Coastal Carolina by 5 • 57.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATCoastal Carolina

21-58FG26-52

36.0%FG%50.0%

7-243PT9-20

29.0%3PT%45.0%

13-17FT6-11

76.0%FT%55.0%

34Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds7

5Assists11

4Turnovers7

3Steals2

2Blocks4

9Fouls17

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alonzo Dodd	G	35	8-16	1-7	4-4	6	3	1	0	21
Jalen Tot	G	30	3-9	3-7	3-3	0	0	1	0	12
Kasen Jennings	G	35	4-16	1-4	2-2	5	0	0	0	11
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	34	2-7	2-5	2-2	12	0	1	0	8
Luke Wilson	C	32	3-7	0-0	2-6	5	1	0	2	8
Jason Clarke Jr.	G	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Chad Moodie	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Andrin Njock	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jacari Brim	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Coastal Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Beadle	G	38	9-17	4-7	3-4	7	5	0	0	25
Reggie Hill	F	21	5-8	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	11
Rasheed Jones	G	38	4-10	2-5	0-0	4	4	2	1	10
AJ Dancler	G	29	3-5	1-1	1-2	4	1	0	0	8
Braeden MacVicar	F	16	2-5	1-4	1-3	3	1	0	0	6
Nadjrick Peat	F	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
DaJohn Craig	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Tristan Thompson	G	4	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Derrick Green	F	19	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	1
Jerry Ngopot	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

57.7Possessions57.7

107.5Offensive Efficiency116.1

116.1Defensive Efficiency107.5

-8.7Net Efficiency8.7

42.2%Effective FG%58.7%

46.9%True Shooting %58.5%

6.9%Turnover Rate12.2%

29.3%Free Throw Rate21.2%

41.4%3-Point Rate38.5%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Coastal Carolina won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 57.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.