Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.1%Buffalo

57.9%Ohio

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio -138

Ohio

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 78

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreOhio 81

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricOhio

49.7MMH Power Index48

114.9Offensive Efficiency109.7

112.2Defensive Efficiency110.7

2.7Net Efficiency-1.0

0.0Strength of Schedule-0.1

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

67.9Tempo71.0

56.1%Effective FG%52.0%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.3%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

40.4%Free Throw Rate37.8%

1.8Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–48.0), offensive efficiency (114.9–109.7), net efficiency (2.7–-1.0), strength of schedule (0.0–-0.1).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.7–112.2), recent form (-1.0–-5.9), ball security (15.3–16.1).

Final

Buffalo

80—91

Ohio

Ohio by 11 • 73.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATOhio

29-67FG34-57

43.0%FG%60.0%

8-253PT6-17

32.0%3PT%35.0%

14-22FT17-20

64.0%FT%85.0%

26Rebounds39

15Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists15

11Turnovers18

10Steals7

3Blocks4

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Angelo Brizzi	G	35	8-16	1-4	1-3	3	2	4	1	18
Ryan Sabol	G	37	4-15	2-9	7-8	5	2	1	0	17
Daniel Freitag	G	35	6-14	1-4	3-5	3	1	1	0	16
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	24	3-7	2-4	0-0	2	3	1	0	8
Noah Batchelor	G	26	2-5	0-2	2-2	3	2	0	1	6
Ezra McKenna	F	21	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Mikhail Pocknett	F	14	2-5	0-0	1-2	5	0	2	1	5
Tim Oboh	C	8	2-3	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	4

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Hadaway	F	34	11-17	3-6	2-2	10	2	2	0	27
Jackson Paveletzke	G	38	8-12	1-2	6-8	6	8	1	0	23
Javan Simmons	F	32	5-7	0-0	3-3	6	3	0	1	13
JJ Kelly	G	31	6-10	0-3	1-1	4	0	0	1	13
Ajay Sheldon	G	31	4-7	2-4	0-0	2	1	4	0	10
Dior Conners	G	12	0-1	0-0	4-4	1	0	0	0	4
Jalen Breath	F	8	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1	1
Jesse Burris	G	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Kiir Kuany	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.5Possessions73.5

108.8Offensive Efficiency123.8

123.8Defensive Efficiency108.8

-15.0Net Efficiency15.0

49.3%Effective FG%64.9%

51.6%True Shooting %68.4%

15.0%Turnover Rate24.5%

32.8%Free Throw Rate35.1%

37.3%3-Point Rate29.8%

0.91Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Ohio won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 73.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.