Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

93.1%Gonzaga

6.9%Oregon State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -17.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -1349

Oregon State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 83

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScoreOregon State 66

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricOregon State

76.4MMH Power Index48.5

119.7Offensive Efficiency105.8

94.0Defensive Efficiency110.3

25.7Net Efficiency-4.5

3.0Strength of Schedule4.5

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

70.4Tempo67.2

55.7%Effective FG%50.6%

13.6%Turnover Rate17.7%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %26.4%

31.5%Free Throw Rate43.9%

18.1Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–48.5), offensive efficiency (119.7–105.8), defensive efficiency (94.0–110.3), net efficiency (25.7–-4.5).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.5–3.0), free throw rate (43.9–31.5).

Final

Gonzaga

89—97

Oregon State

Oregon State by 8 • 76.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATOregon State

30-72FG31-53

42.0%FG%58.0%

9-253PT6-14

36.0%3PT%43.0%

20-25FT29-37

80.0%FT%78.0%

41Rebounds28

19Offensive Rebounds3

19Assists11

12Turnovers9

7Steals8

2Blocks4

24Fouls18

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	34	9-14	1-1	7-8	9	1	0	0	26
Khalif Battle	Guard	39	4-13	1-7	6-6	2	1	3	0	15
Ben Gregg	Forward	30	6-12	1-4	2-4	13	4	2	0	15
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	44	3-10	2-3	5-6	6	10	1	0	13
Nolan Hickman	Guard	35	4-11	3-8	0-0	2	3	0	0	11
Dusty Stromer	G	15	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Braden Huff	F	11	2-7	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	4
Michael Ajayi	F	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	0
Emmanuel Innocenti	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Rataj	G	38	9-15	2-3	9-10	7	2	1	1	29
Nate Kingz	G	39	6-9	3-4	5-6	4	1	3	2	20
Parsa Fallah	F	33	6-11	0-0	4-9	5	0	0	1	16
Damarco Minor	G	40	7-10	1-4	0-0	1	4	0	0	15
Josiah Lake II	G	34	1-2	0-0	9-10	4	3	3	0	11
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	23	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Isaiah Sy	F	10	0-3	0-3	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Matthew Marsh	Center	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

76.8Possessions76.8

115.9Offensive Efficiency126.3

126.3Defensive Efficiency115.9

-10.4Net Efficiency10.4

47.9%Effective FG%64.2%

53.1%True Shooting %68.7%

15.6%Turnover Rate11.8%

34.7%Free Throw Rate69.8%

34.7%3-Point Rate26.4%

1.58Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Oregon State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 76.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.