Stanford

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.9%Stanford

83.1%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -11.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -492

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStanford 70

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreVirginia 81

Team Comparison

StanfordMetricVirginia

59.2MMH Power Index68.9

111.6Offensive Efficiency119.0

107.1Defensive Efficiency101.8

4.5Net Efficiency17.2

5.2Strength of Schedule5.2

7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

68.1Tempo67.6

51.9%Effective FG%55.0%

15.5%Turnover Rate16.0%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

37.2%Free Throw Rate33.2%

3.0Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–59.2), offensive efficiency (119.0–111.6), defensive efficiency (101.8–107.1), net efficiency (17.2–4.5).

Stanford COUNTERS WITHrecent form (7.4–6.4), ball security (15.5–16.0), free throw rate (37.2–33.2).

Final

Stanford

55—70

Virginia

Virginia by 15 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StanfordTEAM STATVirginia

18-56FG25-57

32.0%FG%44.0%

5-263PT6-22

19.0%3PT%27.0%

14-17FT14-17

82.0%FT%82.0%

33Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists17

13Turnovers9

7Steals3

4Blocks7

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Benny Gealer	G	32	5-12	3-9	2-2	4	0	3	0	15
Ebuka Okorie	G	30	5-20	0-6	4-5	6	1	0	0	14
Oskar Giltay	F	23	2-5	0-0	1-1	4	1	0	2	5
Cameron Grant	F	18	1-3	1-3	2-2	2	1	0	1	5
Jeremy Dent-Smith	G	16	2-7	1-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Ryan Agarwal	G	22	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	4
AJ Rohosy	F	15	1-2	0-0	2-3	6	0	0	1	4
Chisom Okpara	F	20	0-2	0-1	3-4	2	4	1	0	3
Donavin Young	F	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Aidan Cammann	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jaylen Thompson	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Thijs De Ridder	F	31	8-11	1-2	5-5	3	2	0	0	22
Chance Mallory	G	26	4-8	2-4	3-3	4	3	2	0	13
Malik Thomas	G	29	5-15	0-5	1-2	7	3	0	0	11
Sam Lewis	G	28	3-8	2-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	8
Dallin Hall	G	33	2-4	0-2	2-2	3	6	0	0	6
Johann Grunloh	C	20	2-7	1-3	0-1	5	1	0	2	5
Ugonna Onyenso	C	20	1-2	0-0	3-4	6	0	0	5	5
Devin Tillis	F	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

86.5Offensive Efficiency110.1

110.1Defensive Efficiency86.5

-23.6Net Efficiency23.6

36.6%Effective FG%49.1%

42.9%True Shooting %53.8%

20.0%Turnover Rate14.5%

30.4%Free Throw Rate29.8%

46.4%3-Point Rate38.6%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

Virginia won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.