Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.0%Villanova

43.0%Marquette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -133

Marquette

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 77

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreMarquette 75

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricMarquette

59.4MMH Power Index52.3

114.7Offensive Efficiency106.0

105.9Defensive Efficiency106.9

8.8Net Efficiency-0.9

4.4Strength of Schedule4.2

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

67.3Tempo70.9

53.9%Effective FG%50.5%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

31.4%Free Throw Rate33.8%

5.9Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–52.3), offensive efficiency (114.7–106.0), defensive efficiency (105.9–106.9), net efficiency (8.8–-0.9).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHrecent form (3.5–-1.1), free throw rate (33.8–31.4).

Final

Villanova

76—73

Marquette

Villanova by 3 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATMarquette

31-56FG25-57

55.0%FG%44.0%

7-253PT11-31

28.0%3PT%35.0%

7-7FT12-15

100.0%FT%80.0%

26Rebounds27

6Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists14

10Turnovers9

7Steals8

3Blocks1

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Acaden Lewis	G	36	8-13	1-3	3-3	2	8	0	0	20
Matt Hodge	F	35	5-7	4-6	0-0	5	0	1	1	14
Devin Askew	G	25	5-10	1-4	2-2	6	1	0	0	13
Duke Brennan	F	28	6-7	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	12
Bryce Lindsay	G	32	3-10	1-7	2-2	5	0	1	0	9
Tyler Perkins	G	27	4-8	0-4	0-0	1	2	4	0	8
Malachi Palmer	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Braden Pierce	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nigel James Jr.	G	37	11-14	7-9	2-4	1	6	3	0	31
Royce Parham	F	37	4-8	1-3	8-8	1	1	1	0	17
Chase Ross	G	36	3-12	2-7	0-0	4	4	4	1	8
Adrien Stevens	G	31	1-4	0-3	2-2	4	1	0	0	4
Tre Norman	G	16	2-4	0-2	0-1	4	1	0	0	4
Caedin Hamilton	F	8	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Michael Phillips II	F	12	1-6	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Ben Gold	F	13	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Damarius Owens	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Joshua Clark	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

120.3Offensive Efficiency115.5

115.5Defensive Efficiency120.3

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

61.6%Effective FG%53.5%

64.1%True Shooting %56.9%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.3%

12.5%Free Throw Rate26.3%

44.6%3-Point Rate54.4%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Villanova won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.