Kansas State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.0%Kansas State

72.0%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona State -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL162.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona State -257

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKansas State 78

Projected Total162.0

Projected ScoreArizona State 84

Team Comparison

Kansas StateMetricArizona State

47.1MMH Power Index51

107.8Offensive Efficiency108.1

110.9Defensive Efficiency110.9

-3.1Net Efficiency-2.8

5.5Strength of Schedule7.0

-14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

73.8Tempo70.6

53.5%Effective FG%51.3%

17.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

27.4%Free Throw Rate40.2%

-2.3Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–47.1), offensive efficiency (108.1–107.8), net efficiency (-2.8–-3.1), strength of schedule (7.0–5.5).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.5–51.3).

Final

Kansas State

84—87

Arizona State

Arizona State by 3 • 76.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Kansas StateTEAM STATArizona State

28-70FG30-64

40.0%FG%47.0%

13-313PT3-22

42.0%3PT%14.0%

15-21FT24-32

71.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds48

16Offensive Rebounds18

14Assists14

13Turnovers15

7Steals6

3Blocks10

27Fouls17

Player Box Score

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
P.J. Haggerty	G	38	7-19	3-7	8-12	3	3	1	0	25
Abdi Bashir Jr.	G	35	8-16	6-12	0-1	2	4	1	0	22
Elias Rapieque	F	21	3-6	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Khamari McGriff	F	14	4-7	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	8
Nate Johnson	G	26	2-6	1-4	2-2	2	3	1	0	7
Taj Manning	F	20	1-2	0-1	4-4	4	0	3	2	6
Dorin Buca	C	19	2-5	0-0	1-2	8	1	0	1	5
David Castillo	G	26	1-7	1-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	3
Andrej Kostic	F	1	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maurice Odum	G	38	8-17	2-7	3-4	1	4	0	0	21
Massamba Diop	C	31	8-10	0-0	5-6	9	1	0	5	21
Anthony Johnson	G	23	5-10	0-3	8-10	4	3	1	2	18
Allen Mukeba	F	28	3-4	0-0	4-4	8	1	0	2	10
Santiago Trouet	F	25	5-12	0-2	0-1	10	3	3	1	10
Andrija Grbovic	F	24	0-5	0-4	4-7	2	0	0	0	4
Noah Meeusen	G	31	1-6	1-6	0-0	7	2	2	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

76.6Possessions76.6

109.7Offensive Efficiency113.6

113.6Defensive Efficiency109.7

-3.9Net Efficiency3.9

49.3%Effective FG%49.2%

52.5%True Shooting %54.9%

16.9%Turnover Rate19.7%

30.0%Free Throw Rate50.0%

44.3%3-Point Rate34.4%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 76.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.