Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%Ball State

83.8%Massachusetts

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMassachusetts -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMassachusetts -517

Massachusetts

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 69

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreMassachusetts 80

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricMassachusetts

41.3MMH Power Index51.5

101.7Offensive Efficiency110.3

104.7Defensive Efficiency106.7

-3.0Net Efficiency3.6

-3.9Strength of Schedule0.9

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

66.4Tempo72.8

48.3%Effective FG%53.2%

16.0%Turnover Rate17.9%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

33.0%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-2.0Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Massachusetts HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMassachusetts holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.5–41.3), offensive efficiency (110.3–101.7), net efficiency (3.6–-3.0), strength of schedule (0.9–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–106.7), recent form (-0.9–-4.2), ball security (16.0–17.9).

Final

Ball State

71—79

Massachusetts

Massachusetts by 8 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATMassachusetts

25-56FG25-52

45.0%FG%48.0%

8-233PT9-24

35.0%3PT%38.0%

13-18FT20-29

72.0%FT%69.0%

28Rebounds36

6Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists19

10Turnovers12

10Steals5

1Blocks2

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Hill	G	28	9-13	4-7	0-1	7	2	1	1	22
Armoni Zeigler	G	39	3-14	0-3	6-6	4	6	2	0	12
Preston Copeland	F	27	4-4	0-0	4-7	5	0	0	0	12
Mason Jones	F	38	3-7	2-4	1-2	3	1	3	0	9
Devon Barnes	G	18	2-6	1-4	2-2	1	3	3	0	7
Elmore James IV	G	32	2-8	1-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	5
Cam Denson	F	15	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Kody Clancy	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Massachusetts

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leonardo Bettiol	F	34	7-9	0-0	6-7	8	3	1	0	20
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	30	5-12	5-10	2-5	2	1	4	0	17
K'Jei Parker	G	20	4-9	2-6	4-4	4	4	0	0	14
Daniel Hankins-Sanford	F	33	3-5	0-1	4-4	10	2	0	0	10
Isaiah Placide	G	14	2-6	2-5	0-0	0	0	0	1	6
Jayden Ndjigue	G	27	2-4	0-0	1-3	8	0	0	0	5
Danny Carbuccia	G	27	1-4	0-1	3-6	3	6	0	0	5
Luka Damjanac	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Dwayne Wimbley Jr.	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Donovan Brown	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dimitri Clerc	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

103.3Offensive Efficiency115.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency103.3

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

51.8%Effective FG%56.7%

55.0%True Shooting %60.1%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.4%

32.1%Free Throw Rate55.8%

41.1%3-Point Rate46.2%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

Massachusetts won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.