Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%Providence

49.6%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADXavier -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL169.5

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -102

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 84

Projected Total169.5

Projected ScoreXavier 85

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricXavier

54.2MMH Power Index49.5

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency112.4

1.8Net Efficiency-3.2

4.0Strength of Schedule5.6

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

74.2Tempo71.7

55.0%Effective FG%51.7%

16.7%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

37.3%Free Throw Rate28.9%

1.3Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–49.5), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.2), net efficiency (1.8–-3.2), recent form (-1.3–-7.4).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.4–113.2), strength of schedule (5.6–4.0), ball security (13.9–16.7).

Final

Providence

84—97

Xavier

Xavier by 13 • 80.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATXavier

31-69FG37-75

45.0%FG%49.0%

8-323PT12-30

25.0%3PT%40.0%

14-21FT11-15

67.0%FT%73.0%

41Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds6

20Assists23

9Turnovers4

1Steals4

4Blocks7

16Fouls21

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stefan Vaaks	G	32	7-15	3-10	4-4	4	1	1	0	21
Jason Edwards	G	35	6-15	2-8	2-3	5	4	0	0	16
Duncan Powell	F	26	4-8	2-6	2-4	2	2	0	1	12
Jaylin Sellers	G	21	4-12	1-4	3-4	3	3	0	1	12
Ryan Mela	G	29	4-8	0-3	0-0	7	2	0	0	8
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	30	2-7	0-1	2-2	6	5	0	0	6
Cole Hargrove	F	9	3-3	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	2	6
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	12	1-1	0-0	1-2	7	2	0	0	3
Nilavan Daniels	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Messina-Moore	G	38	7-14	5-9	4-5	3	3	1	1	23
Jovan Milicevic	F	25	8-12	4-5	2-2	8	1	0	0	22
Tre Carroll	F	36	8-13	0-1	2-3	6	4	0	4	18
Filip Borovicanin	F	37	6-14	3-7	0-1	10	6	0	0	15
Roddie Anderson III	G	29	6-15	0-4	2-2	4	4	3	0	14
Pape N'Diaye	F	19	2-3	0-1	0-0	6	2	0	2	4
All Wright	G	13	0-3	0-2	1-2	0	3	0	0	1
Henry Thole	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ian Sabourin	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Michael Wolf	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.1Possessions80.1

104.9Offensive Efficiency121.1

121.1Defensive Efficiency104.9

-16.2Net Efficiency16.2

50.7%Effective FG%57.3%

53.2%True Shooting %59.1%

11.3%Turnover Rate5.0%

30.4%Free Throw Rate20.0%

46.4%3-Point Rate40.0%

2.22Assist / Turnover5.75

Game Summary

Xavier won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 80.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.