Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Sacramento State

78.8%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -372

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 73

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScorePortland State 83

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricPortland State

43MMH Power Index50.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency109.3

112.0Defensive Efficiency100.2

-5.9Net Efficiency9.1

0.9Strength of Schedule-5.6

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

73.2Tempo70.1

48.5%Effective FG%51.7%

14.2%Turnover Rate16.6%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

41.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-4.3Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (109.3–106.1), defensive efficiency (100.2–112.0), net efficiency (9.1–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-5.6), ball security (14.2–16.6), free throw rate (41.8–36.8).

Final

Sacramento State

69—96

Portland State

Portland State by 27 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATPortland State

22-62FG35-64

35.0%FG%55.0%

3-213PT10-25

14.0%3PT%40.0%

22-28FT16-20

79.0%FT%80.0%

25Rebounds47

7Offensive Rebounds13

8Assists25

5Turnovers11

8Steals4

1Blocks6

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mikey Williams	G	30	9-20	0-3	11-14	3	1	1	1	29
Jayden Teat	G	19	4-10	3-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	11
Taj Glover	G	15	3-5	0-2	5-6	0	3	0	0	11
Prophet Johnson	G	38	3-12	0-3	0-0	5	2	4	0	6
Mark Lavrenov	F	28	1-7	0-2	3-4	11	0	0	0	5
Shaqir O'Neal	F	16	1-2	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	4
Arman Madi	G	19	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	2	0	2
Jahni Summers	G	10	0-2	0-2	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Brandon Gardner	F	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Romari Robinson	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	40	10-19	1-6	5-5	3	5	0	0	26
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	36	9-11	0-0	5-7	20	1	0	4	23
Terri Miller Jr.	F	35	5-8	2-4	2-2	10	13	2	0	14
Isaiah Williams	G	20	3-7	2-4	1-1	3	0	0	0	9
Sebastian Tidor	G	11	3-6	3-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	24	2-6	1-3	3-5	4	3	2	1	8
Alex Dupre	G	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	1	3
Brycen Long	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kelcy Phipps	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Charles Chukwu	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brayden Barron	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Samuel Stewart IV	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Colt Ness	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

95.3Offensive Efficiency132.6

132.6Defensive Efficiency95.3

-37.3Net Efficiency37.3

37.9%Effective FG%62.5%

45.8%True Shooting %65.3%

6.8%Turnover Rate15.4%

45.2%Free Throw Rate31.3%

33.9%3-Point Rate39.1%

1.60Assist / Turnover2.27

Game Summary

Portland State won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.